It only takes one

in LeoFinance3 days ago

Alright, buckle up, folks. Let’s talk about the current state of the AI Agent sector. But first—NFA (Not Financial Advice). I’m wrong a lot. Like, a lot. You know the drill.

So, here’s the tea:

The AI Agent space right now? It’s basically a “speculative bubble on a proof of concept.” Think of it as a $12 billion science experiment that everyone’s betting on—despite the fact that it hasn’t really done anything groundbreaking yet.

And here’s the kicker: that bubble? Oh, it can absolutely get bigger. Like, way bigger. Even if the entire sector continues to be little more than a fancy idea with a shiny logo.

Sounds familiar? It should. Because crypto loves doing this. It’s basically the industry’s love language: speculative bubbles on proof-of-concept tech.

Let’s address the skeptics

Of course, there are plenty of naysayers, and honestly, I get it. Agents so far haven’t exactly changed the world. They haven’t cured diseases, invented hoverboards, or even delivered pizza better than your local joint.

So, yeah, I can see why some tech-minded folks are side-eyeing this whole thing and calling it fugazi. Totally fair. But here’s the thing—they’re kind of ignoring crypto’s entire history.

Remember, crypto doesn’t need results to fuel a bubble. It just needs hope. And boy, does this sector have plenty of that.

What happens next?

That $12 billion bubble could keep inflating even if these Agents keep, well, not doing anything particularly noteworthy. But eventually, the clock runs out. Either time or sheer market growth will demand that these Agents step up and actually prove their worth.

If one or two Agents pull off something big—like, “headlines everywhere” big—the market will go bananas. The sector won’t just grow; it’ll skyrocket. Why? Because the market loves a good story. One success, and suddenly every other project gets painted with the same brush of optimism.

Déjà vu, anyone?

This whole setup feels a lot like crypto gaming in 2021. Remember that? There was already a bubble, and then bam! Axie Infinity showed up and became the poster child for success (even if only for a hot minute). The whole sector went absolutely wild before, well, reality set in.

Moral of the story?

History doesn’t repeat, but it sure rhymes. This sector’s on a familiar path, and if you’re playing in this space, tread carefully. Speculative bubbles are fun—until they’re not.

Stay sharp out there.

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True agentic AI is nowhere even close to a reality.

By “agentic AI” I mean cognitive based output and decision-making.

That type of output is antithetical to the way current AI works.

Agentic AI would require a machine learning model that can ignore its node weights, while still producing coherent responses.

Personally, I think that capability is impossible until organic machines are developed, and even then it might still be impossible.

Judgement and creativity require being able to rationally say No to your internal “programming”. Humans can do this. Animals maybe can do this (but I don’t think they can). Machines never do.

That’s not to say that AI “agents” can’t be useful tools. They can and will. They just won’t be truly agentic.

AI Agent sector? First time to hear this. To attach "agent" to AI, that's something new for me, but the idea appears familiar. Comparing it to the Axie Infinity bubble, I am curious how it will rise and end.

Just as the Axie Infinity phenomenon taught us about volatility and bubbles in the world of cryptocurrencies, the evolution of AI reminds us that while we may be excited about its possibilities, we must be realistic about what it can achieve.