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🧵 2. RBC Capital analyst estimates manageable margin impacts for D-3 automakers due to potential raises for union workers. Short-term low inventories may support prices.

🧵 3. Jefferies analyst stresses the importance of strike duration, estimating potential earnings impact for each week of a strike at Ford, GM, and Stellantis.

🧵 4. Simultaneous national strikes by UAW would be unprecedented, causing significant ripple effects on the supply chain, economy, and manufacturers' losses.

🧵 5. Despite uncertainties, Morgan Stanley analyst sees buying opportunities during contract negotiations, emphasizing that labor costs are a small portion of Detroit automakers' global revenues.