Hey, I may be wrong but I've worked with large software systems all my life and while AI is not my specialty, I am familiar. I just don't see prompting your way through millions of lines of code. I think it will be a great tool to make doing certain things more efficient, I think it will also be great at creating a piece of software that is very like other pieces of software up to a certain complexity, but for innovation and large complicated systems, prompting your way there is going to be harder than coding your way there for the foreseeable future. Just my opinion.
Also debugging. I would hope AI could do away with crashes but if you aren't seeing the behavior you expect or the data you expect that's going to take troubleshooting. If AI could tell you why it was wrong then it wouldn't be wrong. But it WILL be wrong sometimes. Hopefully it at least learns to generate well documented, readable code.
It's not so much that I doubt AI will have these abilities eventually, I just think that last mile is going to take a long time to get to. I'm still 20 years from retirement (or until Hive moons) and there are a lot of reasons I could lose my job. AI is not one that I fear at the moment. Current forecasts are that software jobs will grow at a rate of 22% over the next decade. That's still faster than almost everything else. AI will almost certainly replace most software engineers in the future, perhaps even in my lifetime. I just don't think it is imminent. Yes, it's moving fast now, but the more advanced it gets, the harder it will be to take that next step. For as long as humans have to still do the hardest parts, AI will just be a tool for software developers to use, not a replacement.