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RE: LeoThread 2024-06-13 23:50

in LeoFinance8 months ago

#newsonleo #unitedkingdom #politics YouGov poll for the first indicates that the ruling Conservative (Tory) Party would end on July 4th general election on 3rd place, behind right-wing Reform party. 1/

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2/ While everyone expects Labour to win next election and return to power with unprecedented majority in Parliament, until recently few expected such spectacular slide of fortunes for Tories, which had won 2019 election with high margin.

If polls are reflected in actual contest, Tories would suffer not only from Labour, but from Reform, which could expect to become second largest party in Britain.

To say that such events are rare in British politics is understatement. Last time such realingment happened more than century ago, during 1923 when the emerging Labour Party replaced Liberals as the 2nd strongest party. Since Britian has, in practicality, a two-party system, that meant slow but inevitable decline for Liberals that never, with a sole exception of Churchill's WW2 grand coalition cabinet, participated in national government.