Rumor has it that Blackrock submitted a BTC ETF.
Yeah I know dozens of ETFs have been wrongfully rejected by the SEC. Hell they are even being sued over it. But an institution like Blackrock doesn't submit a bid for something like this unless they know they're getting what they want. The wheels have been greased. This ETF is as good as approved.
Of course this gives off extreme mixed reviews.
Anyone who cares about number go up, especially during the rough patch we find ourselves in, is like "yay Bitcoin ETF". Anyone who cares about decentralization is like omfg Blackrock ETF Bitcoin has fallen from grace. Both of these outlooks are flawed for various reasons.
Yay BTC EFT number go up wen moon!
The greedy and pathetic crypto moon-boys can't get enough of something like this. Of course you're not necessarily greedy and pathetic if you want an investment to do well. But certainly their are signs that one might be here for the wrong reasons. Wen lambo?
Basically I have a problem with anyone who wants to extract value from other people. Anyone who wants to enrich themselves by sucking the lifeblood out of others can suck rocks. However anyone that wants to get rich through cooperation and creating something the world has never seen or even dreamed of is obviously fine by me.
Will BTC hit $1M during the next run?
Well by the end of this year the doubling curve hits $100k, so I wouldn't even be surprised if we hit $100k by the end of this year. If we do I won't even call it a bullrun, I'll just be calling it the recovery to a major setback.
If we assume that BTC is still on a 4-year cycle then 2025 is the pico-top year, in which case the curve will sit at $400k. At that point, assuming the curve is even still a thing, $1M would be a perfectly standard bull market and a relatively expected price given continued exponential growth. Of course there are no guarantees but that's a long way off and I'm done getting my ass kicked by such lofty speculation.
OMFG Blackrock ETF worst thing ever!
This mentality is also incorrect and hypocritical. Why? Because people act like crypto is supposed to censor and subjugate the rich and powerful. "How can crypto empower the people if it doesn't disempower the elite?" This is ridiculous absurdist thinking rooted in a falsely projected competitive ecosystem.
It's like everyone unilaterally forgets that crypto is PERMISSIONLESS. Permissionless, as in anyone gets to use it. Permissionless, as in rich people still get to use and profit from it. Nobody ever said big banks and other institutions like Blackrock wouldn't use crypto, and yet time and time again the expectation is that we are going to build something that takes over the world and all the powers that be are just going to ignore it, roll over, and die. Welcome the real world people; that's not how it works.
Bitcoin is at the front of the line when it comes to institutional adoption. There are multiple reasons for this. One being it's been around the longest. It has the highest security. And the most effort has been put into controlling it. Don't be surprised if you find out that governments and institutions all around the world have been secretly setting up mining operations. Hashrate at all time highs with price at local lows is extremely abnormal.
All part of the process.
With the SEC attacking crypto as hard as they possibly can under the guise of "protecting investors" it's quite suspect that this EFT play comes in like this from one of the world's biggest and potentially feared institutions. Sure it could all be a coincidence, but events like this have been stacking together so hard lately it feels extremely coordinated. The weak hands are being hammered out of existence, and by the time they realize what happened crypto will 10x and they'll have just enough time to buy in before the sharks crash the price again and leech more blood from the population. Business as usual.
Why have so many EFTs been rejected?
Because the SEC keeps lying and saying they're "prone to market manipulation" which is an obvious lie because there's nothing about the derivative version that stops market manipulation. In fact a derivative pool is smaller than the real thing so it should be even easier to manipulate on a liquidity basis. Luckily a this point the SEC has tilted their hand and we can see beyond any doubt that their words mean nothing and they are purposefully rigging the system in the favor of the most powerful players. Blackrock is one of those players, which is why this particular EFT is practically guaranteed to be approved.
Conclusion
Blackrock placing a bid for a Bitcoin ETF is neither a good nor a bad thing. It's simply what was always going to happen eventually. This is the path that we are on. It was unavoidable no matter how good or bad someone decides it is on the analysis side of things. The tidal wave doesn't care what we think. We can either maneuver around it gracefully or get utterly destroyed by it. Yelling at it or even swinging a sword isn't going to have any affect. Water flows.
This spot ETF is as good as approved, and when it does get approved it will definitively show the deception of the regulators and how they openly play favorites and break their own laws for personal and professional benefit. It's not what you know, it's who you know. A wave of lawsuits is about to crash down hard on the SEC, and they're going to lose them all, along with their credibility. But hell maybe that's all part of the plan when it comes to organizing such a massive pump and dump. All I can say is that the next couple years will be far from boring.
Since BlackRock has ties in many government departments, the fact that they have applied for a spot ETF suggests that it could be approved. It's also possible that they found out that the SEC probably won't win the Grayscale court case, which could force them to accept the spot ETF. Since Fink is on the WEF management board, it could also be seen as another political move by globalists. One possible possibility is that BlackRock buys a large amount of mining power, although it is not clear if this is possible, and then starts a fork. By having power over most miners, they could give the new chain the highest hash rate and maybe even take over the BTC ticker. As a result, the new chain would become known as Bitcoin, while the original Bitcoin would become just another cryptocurrency. Only time will show what will really happen. It's important to note that this would be the second move to take over the chain after the blocksize war. These points are only my opinion and guesswork.
Remember that you only profit when you sell. I remember back when BTC was a measly $1k, and advising a friend to jump in. It hit ~$20k later that year - but no one could sell because the miners weren't completing transactions for less than ~25%. I do not trust that mechanism, myself, to enable me to sell high when I want to.
As to the 'OMFG BlackRock' sentiment, I would suggest that is a result not of "How can crypto empower the people if it doesn't disempower the elite?", but of the same cautionary principle I pointed out above. BlackRock controls the companies it takes a stake in. It's notorious for promulgating ESG and DEI in stock corporations, and probably forced Bud Light to hire Dylan Mulvaney.
I would chew my fingernails right off if I had a sizable interest in any company that BlackRock bought into for that reason, not because I worried about BlackRock being empowered right along with we sovereign plebs, or any other reason. I do not trust that outfit to not ESG and DEI an asset into the ground, because they don't care about profit compared to ESG and DEI, as a gazillion rainbow flags and corporate logos resulting from Larry Fink's obsession shows.
At least you're considering actual market forces instead of woo (although the doubling curve kinda feels like TA, it is in fact a reduction in inflation, which is a solid financial metric). I'm proud of you!
Thanks!
Sounds more like
Yellen at it….😁
My Bitcoin fundamentalist hat hates the idea because I want to keep it pure, but we are way passed that at this point.
Now I am okay with it because it will give me a way to hedge bet with options trading so I can just stack sats and chill and let the options do all the work and make my income. Trading stocks like MARA and MSTR aren’t quite the same.
But we will see…
Exactly. The article I read last night was pointing to the number of times the SEC rejected such applications, saying it's not a given Blackrock's ETF will get approved. Yeah, right!!! Unless they're playing a different game and they don't actually want one and then it won't get approved!
The SEC is greased by all the folk behind Blackrock. No surprise to me on the timing - smash the market before we start buying and the choice of custodian. Two days after the SEC filed a suit against Coinbase. We know the result of that case.
How about the list of coins added as supposed securities in the Coinbase suit? Not going to hold water
Nah it wont get approved, the sec hates everyone Gary Gensler looks like a Fucking goblin xD so he is plain evil and hates everyone.
bet?
When they(all big investors) get in who is already in will be in another level that anybody can't imagine in the moment.
This is good for Bitcoin. Institutional investors and professional money managers control 33% or 50 trillion or so of assets in USA and most of them buy Blackrock stuff, this might be better than good. Canada and other places also buy Blackrock Stuff. To shrug your shoulders is ignorance - Blackrock isn't just some ETF company, it's the worlds largest. I look at this as a huge rubber stamp. The SEC is going after money launders, tax evaders and those who assist them. They aren't after Blackrock or some decentraliezed blockchain.
My guess: They're just messing around. Bought the dip, clearly the price is going up because news. They'll sell shortly before saying, "Nope. Not happening." Then the value goes to shit. They'll buy that dip. Then say, "Well okay maybe it will happen."
If bitcoin is the game, the media is the cheat mod. Got all that shit wrapped around their fingers, puppets (people) are being pulled along.
Been watching this show for years. I've seen this episode. It's always reruns now.
Backrock own almost everything under the radar. Smart move tbh . Learn kids