To be honest I think you get way too caught up in timing.
based on past patterns, we are going to peak late in 2021
Eh, I'm just trying to play the odds. Pocket aces is the best hand in Texas Holdem. Doesn't mean I win automatically when I'm dealt them. This is a game of averages.
That is a good point... there are no guarantees. As long as bitcoin keeps tracking what it has already done and as long as it has so many macro tailwinds, timing the dips is a very tough game to play. I've already lost some bitcoin by thinking it was overbought and took some off the table, I was never able to get it back in, and that was like $10k ago now... :)
Yeah I might have to wait for the $40k-$50k range before I know "for sure"