Nah it's really complex and there is no way to calculate these things because it's an equation with a thousand different variables. Trying to isolate a variable is impossible, but people do it anyway and just hope their guess is correct and that the other variables don't matter as much.
When it comes to liquidity it's very impressive that Bitcoin is holding ground in an environment like this. Fiat has x1000 more liquidity than Bitcoin. Bitcoin holding support while USD dominates is pretty spectacular.