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The U.S. Commitment to African Development: A New Chapter or Catching Up?

In a significant diplomatic gesture, President Biden has undertaken the first U.S. presidential visit to Angola in over a decade. This move comes as part of a broader strategy aimed at revitalizing American partnerships in Africa amidst intense competition from China, which has dominated the investment landscape for the past twenty years.

A New Investment Plan

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During his visit, President Biden announced a $600 million commitment to fund a multinational railway project connecting Zambia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Angola. This initiative is categorized under the “Trends Africa Railway” network, poised to enhance export capabilities and promote economic growth in some of the continent's most underserved countries. Biden emphasized the importance of this collaboration, stating, “The United States is all in on Africa. The future of the world is here in Africa, in Angola.”

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Despite this commitment, it is evident that the U.S. is trailing far behind China in terms of financial input in Africa. In 2023 alone, China invested approximately $21.7 billion into the continent, vastly overshadowing the U.S. investments. This stark difference underscores a growing concern among American policymakers regarding China's expansive influence and its long-standing engagements in various African nations.

China’s Growing Footprint

For more than two decades, China has ascended to the status of Sub-Saharan Africa's largest bilateral trading partner, contributing significantly to the region's exports accounting for around 20%. Core commodities traded include metals, minerals, and fuels, with China reciprocating through substantial infrastructure investments.

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The Belt and Road Initiative, introduced in 2013, has been instrumental in channeling over $91 billion into Africa, facilitating projects related to transportation, energy, and mining. Moreover, at the September Forum on China Africa Cooperation, President Xi Jinping pledged an additional $51 billion for further development on the continent.

However, this Chinese engagement raises critical concerns. Critics argue that many of the funded projects lack economic sustainability, leaving Sub-Saharan African nations overburdened with debts amounting to more than $400 billion to China. Allegations of corruption, notably bribing officials for contracts, further complicate the narrative of Chinese investments as purely beneficial.

The Signs of U.S. Engagement

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Given this competitive backdrop, experts suggest that President Biden’s visit is a crucial signal of the U.S.'s rekindled commitment to Africa. The director of the Africa Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies remarked on the historical context, noting that no U.S. president had visited Africa since Barack Obama. This visit is not just symbolic; it reflects a much-needed initiative to bridge the investment gap.

Despite the enthusiasm among Angolan officials regarding the railway project, there remains a disconnect with local populations. Many citizens, including farmers, remain unaware of the implications of these investments—the benefits may not be fully realized if the information does not reach the grassroots levels.

The Race for Resources

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The need for strategic mineral resources is a vital component of this investment strategy, particularly as the U.S. aims to build its technological future. With a population of 1.5 billion, Africa presents a crucial opportunity for both the U.S. and China in the sphere of resource competition. The situation leaves countries like Angola, Zambia, and Kenya at a crossroads, with their leadership navigating these international dynamics.

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Experts suggest that increased competition among superpowers can be advantageous for African nations, allowing them to negotiate better deals. However, a significant challenge looms as U.S.-China relations grow increasingly adversarial. The U.S. must find a way to cooperate with African nations to ensure access to the resources needed for economic growth while avoiding dependence on China’s extensive investments.

Future Prospects and Concerns

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The longevity of Biden’s commitment remains uncertain, especially given the shifting political landscape in the U.S. The future of such investments would largely depend on the political context following the next presidential elections. The potential for a Trump administration, known for its markedly different worldview, raises questions about whether current initiatives would continue or if a pivot towards isolationism might occur, potentially jeopardizing U.S.-Africa relations.

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In summary, President Biden's visit to Angola marks an important revival of U.S. interest in Africa, a direct response to China's overwhelming presence on the continent. Although this commitment is a step forward, it is imperative for the U.S. to establish a sustainable and continuous strategy that ensures that it remains a partner in Africa’s growth rather than just a participant in a geopolitical tug-of-war.