Yes, I think you are right in both situations. Many are trying to avoid mistakes they made in 2021 (including myself), and we might, unfortunately, make new ones. But at least we learn and reduce both the amount and the types of mistakes we made from cycle to cycle. Or at least that's what should happen, because if we don't learn there are missed opportunities, losses we need to swallow, and time that passes.
I think we're all trying to avoid one mistake or the other, but then we'll eventually make new mistakes, but then I think every cycle will bring it's own lessons and experiences as well. Overall we get to learn. The more cycle we get, the better we become