That is a pretty good view of things and I kind of agree with your outlook on BTC. The halving is already baked in so it kind of relies on the BTC ETF being approved before it pops.
As for Hive, I agree that it's a late bloomer. It will probably lag behind but we are constantly developing so I think it's just a matter of time.
Exactly, the halving is baked in and might not bring that huge impact to push price. However, we need to wait till April to truly know.
I feel that if hive truly blooms very late, then it's going to be a very good bloom indeed. We're growing and getting better.