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neither of them will happen for sure. I am ready to bet against that. BTC at worst can hit the 10-23k range and at max can go up to 35k-40k in 2023. 2024 prospects for BTC are quite bright because of the upcoming halving event in mid-2024.

For sure...

both are unrealistic. probably $5,000 has a better chance this year than $250,000, just to vote for one of these.

Ha ha ha...yes you are absolutely right. The path of least resistance is 5000 level, even though it is unrealistic, mathematically it is at a close distance than the latter.