First of all: how do you think voter turnout is calculated?
Second of all: do you believe the denominator in this equation (the number of registered voters) stays the same every four years?
You seem to be operating under this assumption that the total amount of votes is calculated in a different way other than adding up all the votes. How does that work? Show me where you got this number. You're just saying things with zero links to any actual data.
I don't know and I don't care.
Elections are not secure and I've never voted in one.
Registered voters, based on the expansion of the US population, surely could have only increased if anything.
The data I am using is from the official vote counts posted on a number of media and alternative media websites, unless you have something more accurate?
Got it so your source is "trust me bro" and you refuse to link anything.
You also refuse to wait for all the votes to be counted.
You've also decided there are more registered voters because... reasons.
You seem to think you're onto something that other people aren't going to figure out.
Like if there's a mathematical certainty of fuckery then what are you worried about?
No one is going to "crack the case" with a single data point.
Again, this is a waste of time.
Wait.
These estimates are of 1:30pm on Friday, November 8 and will continue to be revised as more data become available. Understand that most vote-by-mail states are still receiving ballots postmarked by Election Day. In addition to these states, some states are still counting mail and provisional ballots. Initial uncertainty of turnout is typical for every election.
Initial uncertainty of turnout is typical for every election.
Initial uncertainty of turnout is typical for every election.
Initial uncertainty of turnout is typical for every election.
It does not work the way you think it works.
How does it work?
I have no idea, and neither do you.
The University of Florida has the same turnout results as the Washington Post turnout figures. Not that I am a fan of the mainstream news media but for basic stats they record the same data for US presidential election turnout figures.
Not really sure why you've turned this into a clash of sources, we are discussing the same issue.
My question from the outset was very simple and was just that - a question based on simple maths.
Initial uncertainty of turnout is typical for every election.
Why do you think this is?
My guess is going to be because turnout is directly calculated from the votes and any number you get before that is just a guess based on extrapolation. So what you've done here is potentially taken the guess as truth and then ask why the guess doesn't match the truth. Which is something I've already stated.
First of all: how do you think voter turnout is calculated?
Second of all: do you believe the denominator in this equation (the number of registered voters) stays the same every four years?
You seem to be operating under this assumption that the total amount of votes is calculated in a different way other than adding up all the votes. How does that work? Show me where you got this number. You're just saying things with zero links to any actual data.
I don't know and I don't care.
Elections are not secure and I've never voted in one.
Registered voters, based on the expansion of the US population, surely could have only increased if anything.
The data I am using is from the official vote counts posted on a number of media and alternative media websites, unless you have something more accurate?
Got it so your source is "trust me bro" and you refuse to link anything.
You also refuse to wait for all the votes to be counted.
You've also decided there are more registered voters because... reasons.
You seem to think you're onto something that other people aren't going to figure out.
Like if there's a mathematical certainty of fuckery then what are you worried about?
No one is going to "crack the case" with a single data point.
Again, this is a waste of time.
Wait.
https://election.lab.ufl.edu/2024-general-election-turnout/
It does not work the way you think it works.
How does it work?
I have no idea, and neither do you.
Again, where are you getting your stats from? And as I have already said let's see what votes turn up.
Is this a joke?
You haven't linked a single piece of data.
Did you even click that link?
You're trolling at this point.
The University of Florida has the same turnout results as the Washington Post turnout figures. Not that I am a fan of the mainstream news media but for basic stats they record the same data for US presidential election turnout figures.
Not really sure why you've turned this into a clash of sources, we are discussing the same issue.
My question from the outset was very simple and was just that - a question based on simple maths.
Why do you think this is?
My guess is going to be because turnout is directly calculated from the votes and any number you get before that is just a guess based on extrapolation. So what you've done here is potentially taken the guess as truth and then ask why the guess doesn't match the truth. Which is something I've already stated.