It is amazing how we adjust our thinking.
Cryptocurrency is a world mostly of speculation. People are living the mooning and Lambo dreams.
This started with Bitcoin, an asset that made a lot of people very wealthy. Those who go in for a few hundred dollars are now sitting on a nice return. At the same time, the ones who were able to get in for $10 have a nice fortune.
Everyone is looking for the next Bitcoin in terms of market action. This is natural. Throughout the stock market, we often hear people talking about the "next Tesla".
However, when it comes to currency, is this what it is about? For most, it is. Nevertheless, it is best for us to look at this from another angle.
In this article we will cover what could be the future of cryptocurrency and how things will unfold.
Hive Backed Dollar
We spent a lot of time discussing the Hive Backed Dollar (HBD). This is Hive's stablecoin. Why is this so important?
If we are going to consider the future of cryptocurrency, perhaps it is best to look at our existing system.
Many feel that we have to get HBD on exchanges, especially the centralized ones. We need to get HBD available on Binance and Coinbase goes the thinking. Without that, the currency is doomed.
After all, people need access to it.
As a contrast, how many people reading these words have used the FOREX market? How many did a currency swap in the fiat world? Other than traveling, it is likely very few. Most simply do not engage in that arena.
Instead, we get a hold of the currency through different employment and investment means. When one works, he or she receives a paycheck. That will likely be in the legal tender of the nation.
Why do we think things are no different with HBD? People claim there is no access to it yet we find many ways people are accumulating HBD. Each time someone is rewarded for a comment, they are getting a bit of HBD. The same is true when the 50/50 option is selected on posts. There is interest paid on HBD in savings. Finally, people receive HBD when their proposals are funded.
The fact is HBD is already being distributed.
Access To Coins
Certainly there does need to be a way to get into the different coins on Hive. Not everyone is going to show up and blog. There will be ones who prefer to use HBD as part of their fixed income portfolio. Here is where the future has to be mapped out.
While many feel the addition to exchanges (centralized) is important, another view is to bypass them altogether. We could be looking at an animal that has a very limited future.
After all, why do we need something like Coinbase and Binance other than for conversion of fiat to crypto (and the reverse)? The future of crypto-to-crypto swaps do not have to include these entities.
Here is where decentralized finance (DeFi) enters. We can utilize the tools available here to make both HBD and $HIVE available to the masses. For accessibility, it only requires a BTC or LTC bridge. If we could be a liquid, deep pool, anyone who can get a hold of them could access the Hive coins.
At the same time, we could push the DEX to carry one (or both) of the coins. This would also provide a pathway to enter the Hive ecosystem.
For now, it is rather limited. However, this is where the community needs to take the onus upon itself to establish the mechanisms which will allow people to enter the ecosystem. The reward pool, along with the HBD interest rate, is still the key components to adoption.
Commercial Use Cases
Stocks are purchased using exchanges. For most, currency is earned and spent. Here is the key difference.
We highlighted HBD because that is Hive's transactional currency. Stablecoins are where people need to concentrate efforts for use case. $HIVE is the value capture token which could lead people to have to swap on exchanges. The former, however, should be thought like any other currency.
There are some options already arising. We see some merchants in Venezuela already accepting HBD as payment. Building out this facet of the ecosystem is vital. Here is where the future of cryptocurrency resides.
To me, we are going to see a time where the exchange mentality is diminished. Instead, people will amass cryptocurrency through their actions, ultimately putting them in a position to spend it.
The key is to get to the point where people are using stablecoins to purchase real world goods and services which they require. Here is where the idea of regulating exchanges and other practices are useless.
When one uses a peer-to-peer system to pay one's hairdresser, we can see how the system evolved past the regulators.
In other words, the key is to build up Hive's economy. Here is where a coin like HBD establishes a different position.
Life Without Centralized Exchanges
There will come a time where most people will not be dealing with centralized exchanges.
Cryptocurrency is going to spread, most likely starting in the developing world. Those areas without a stable national currency will prefer to engage in commerce using something that is tied to the USD. Here is where stablecoins enter.
At the same time, since the banking systems also tend to be subpar, a digital wallet provides these individuals with the services required. They have the ability to send, receive, and store money, all without a bank. This means both business and personal transactions can be conducted.
The majority of people will not require the conversion to fiat, at least not on a regular basis. It is akin to people converting a US dollar to quarters. Perhaps one goes to a bank for that yet most times one simply walks into the supermarket. In other words, there are other ways to accomplish the same goal.
Those who are deeply involved with cryptocurrency will be accumulating coins and tokens. This will translate into them spending them through various means. Once we arrive at the point of regular commerce, then we are moving beyond the speculation/buying mentality. People will be actually earning their money.
Centralized exchanges will be limited mostly to fiat transactions. Even the crypto-to-crypto world will be handled outside these entities.
It is simply a matter of time before they all are reduced to something much smaller. For now, it only requires us to build the infrastructure and start the funding of these different pools.
What are your thoughts? Does this seem like a path that cryptocurrency could take?
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Thank you as always for introducing some interesting and thoughtful concepts! 😊
Using dollar-backed currencies does seem like a future, but the backing must be very strong (as evidenced by the downfall of a few other dollar-backed "stable" cryptocurrencies over the past few years). However, some large hurdles include: finding a way to decentralize exchanges so that fiat and HBD can be exchanged (which is certainly doable), and finding a way to have HBD be one of the primary stable cryptocurrencies, as there is plenty of competition out there right now. HBD has to become well-known in order to be adopted further, and right now the best-known dollar-backed cryptocurrencies are listed on central exchanges - so this presents a bit of a Catch-22 situation.
Most focus upon the value of the backing believing that is the answer. It isnt.
We must bring value to HBD, that is where the magic lies. Developing a strong economy around it is what will make it resilient.
It is overlooked in the discussion of money.
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Another fantastic post! Do you know if there is any effort to get HIVE traded on Thor Chain? Thor Chain is my favorite DEX.
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This is what we're already working on our bridge dapp in project hivelocity. This is very important step to the adoption of HBD, but also more usecases based on real world utility need to be worked out.
Very interesting. Looking forward to it rolling out.
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When people can earn and use crypto directly for everyday goods and services.
There’s got to be a way to on/off ramp to fiat in lieu of centralized exchanges. Thoughts?
I dont know how to deal with fiat other than CEX. Perhaps there might be a way to do it but I am not sure.
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It's a potential path as more people realize how dangerous centralized exchanges are and I agree that they will still exist because of fiat. Fiat isn't disappearing anytime soon but digital transactions are way simpler for people as we move into a cashless society.
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CEX is important to import value from the fiat side to crypto side.
The biggest benefit of having HBD integrated is reduction in fees and faster speed.
CEX probably won’t advocate for HBD, they all want to have their own stable coin. Issuing tokens give them tremendous amount of power and leverage.
When HBD gets too big to be ignored, it will be listed naturally. No CEX want to lose on revenue.
CEX will mean a lot less if people are able to buy everyday products they need.
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It's cost me cents to withdraw HBD, sold it to book my flight in advance for February and I told the guy that was with
because, getting onto fiat I could feel the bank charges already as they took their cut a day these not only applies to the bank it is same for the CEXs as well.
I long for days when centralized exchanges are less depend upon, when we can transact I decentralized maner, I think it is possible.
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There are still a lot of holes in the system but we are starting to build a foundation. We are going in a lot of areas at one time. It looks rather chaotic.
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I could definitely see a time when we are using our Hive wallet to do any manner of transactions in the real world. The fact that the countries you mentioned are already doing it just indicates it is only a matter of time before it scales and we see it on a wider level.
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The world is fast growing!
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For sure!
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It will be an exciting time. Have to develop a lot more infrastructure but we have some pieces falling into place.
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This is so so enlightening, i am still trying to get a hang of what actually goes on in this Hive space and this was able to answer some of my questions to an extent.
Thank you so much for sharing.
Glad it could help out. Feel free to ask questions.
There are a number who show up in these comment sections and will answer.
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I think this is a possible path that cryptocurrency will naturally take. The reason why we mainly use CEXs is to have Fiat, this would then be use for purchases of all kind. As more businesses/merchants (both offline and online) integrated cryptocurrency, the less CEXs will be needed. Crypto to crypto swaps can happen through DEXs. It mainly depends on how or when crypto adoption happens.
Yeah there is no getting around the connection to fiat and exchanges. That will not disappear. But if we can go directly to products and services, then it is a different ballgame.
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My only use for Coinbase is once a week when I buy LTC using fiat to convert to Hive using Blocktrades. I do not keep any assets on the centralized exchanges. When I was converting USD to foreign currency I was in the Navy and we were able to do that on the ship or on base. So, I have never used the FOREX market either.