That is what people do not think about: the spillover effect.
One replacement could take out a host of jobs. You are right, with generative video, you remove all the things such as sets, wardrobe, and makeup. Then you also have the auxiliary like food trucks and coffee services.
It's pretty simple, on a major contract feature film or TV show, we're around 400 people working. Once ai is good enough why would a producer choose to hire more than say 20 prompt engineers, and a few heads of departments?
My 30 year carrier in Hollywood is toast in 10 years tops.
Agreed.
It is clear how things are going to unfold. Sadly, for you, I am not sure you have 10 years. I am watching generative AI with video. What happens if that is up to image quality of today in, say, 3 years? Think of how that alters the economics of entertainment.
Quite simply, I think Hollywood will end up being crushed like the newspapers were 30 years ago. There will be fragments of the industry left over but that is all.
I think you're right. I tell all the younger grips to start looking for a different path as the fall of traditional film making is quickly on its way out. But they don't really believe it.
I have been saying 5 to 10 years but I think much closer to 5.
The tech has to get better but at the same time people will have to get used to watching unknown actors (ai actors, if actors aren't going along with selling their likeness)...
As we interact, Meta announced their version of Sora. They are not going to release it to public developers but are focusing upon people in the industry. That is what they claim.
I have no idea how good it is although Meta asserts it tops Sora (of course they do). Even if it doesnt, it is another one that will improve over time.
So yeah, 5 years, at most. The more we create outside these large companies, the better it is for everyone (although not great for jobs).
I read this yesterday and forgot to reply! Yeah for the jobs disappearing, one has to be smart and use the new tools available (ai). Or find another path.
That is very funny in deed that Meta announced their version of sora as we're speaking. Things are moving super fast and I kind of love it!
Can't wait to see what happens, even though my job is on the line.
I am with you. I think you are in the right place, Web 3.0. This is going to be a bugger.
It is why I keep pushing for LeoAI so much. We are dealing with something that can capture something that is enormous value in the future.