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Part 1/8:

The Fall of Coal and Rise of Renewables in China

The energy landscape in China is undergoing a dramatic transformation, marking a pivotal shift towards renewable energy sources, particularly solar power. The "coal power revolution" that once dominated China's energy sector is essentially over, as staggering statistics reveal the country has made significant strides in solar energy production.

Unprecedented Solar Expansion

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According to data revealed by EV Curve Futurist, China added a remarkable one terawatt (TW) of solar power in the first three quarters of this year alone. This equates to an astonishing average of 17.7 gigawatts (GW) of new solar capacity installed each month, leading projections to suggest that total solar additions will exceed 240 GW by the year’s end. Cumulatively, this will push China's installed solar capacity beyond 1 TW, sufficient to power tens of millions of homes.

Declining Coal Approvals

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In stark contrast to the massive investments in solar, approvals for coal power plants have plummeted. In 2024, China approved just 9 GW of new coal capacity—a staggering 83% decline from previous years. Over the last year, coal power approvals have fallen off a cliff, dropping by nearly 92% during the last quarters of 2023. This rapid decline signals a decisive shift in policy and public sentiment towards cleaner energy sources.

Economic Viability of Coal Power

The economic climate surrounding coal power in China is dire, with reports indicating that around 70% of coal power plants are currently operating at a loss. As renewable energy sources, particularly wind and solar, continue to decline in cost, coal is increasingly seen as an outdated and inefficient option.

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The speed at which renewables are being deployed is phenomenal; each week, China installs renewable energy equivalent to the output of five nuclear power plants. To put this into perspective, this amounts to the energy contribution of 250 nuclear plants over just twelve months—dramatic evidence of the diminishing role of nuclear energy in favor of renewables.

Global Implications

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The shift towards renewable energy in China carries heavy implications for countries that are heavily reliant on exporting coal, such as Australia. With the rapid acceleration of renewable energy development, the demand for thermal coal is expected to decline swiftly. Workers in coal-dependent industries need to prepare for significant shifts in the job market—retraining and transitioning to alternative employment sectors should be a priority.

Health and Environmental Considerations

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China's transition from coal is also rooted in the urgent need to address pollution and public health concerns. A report points out that coal-related pollution has led to millions of premature deaths, pushing the Chinese government to seek cleaner air and a sustainable environment. The visible improvements in air quality in Chinese cities highlight this shift towards renewables— an effort that also aims to bolster international perception and attract tourism.

Exponential Growth of Solar Capacity

Looking globally, the installed solar capacity has reached 2 terawatts (TW), a feat accomplished in just two short years after surpassing 1 TW. It took 68 years to achieve the first terawatt, but with the current exponential growth rates, we are witnessing transformations unlike any before.

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The analogy of placing grains of rice on a chessboard—where each square represents a doubling of grains—illustrates this rapid growth. By the time renewable energy reaches the 68th square, the numbers become astronomical—highlighting the unfolding energy revolution.

Conclusion

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As it stands, China is not only leading the race in renewable energy but is actively working towards phasing out coal in favor of more sustainable methods of power generation. The country is set on a course that prioritizes environmental health and economic viability, leaving traditional coal power behind. As global leaders observe China’s transition, the ripple effects will undoubtedly reshape energy policies and market dynamics worldwide. The message is clear: the future of energy lies in renewables, and the pace at which China is moving sets a compelling precedent for nations worldwide.