Card prices and general thoughts

in Gods On Chain8 months ago

I haven't been playing Gods Unchained that much lately. I was buried in Blocklords for the 60-day contest and just haven't jumped back in to GU yet. I did however take a look at some card prices and my things have changed!

Pyramid Warden

Pyramid Warden has always been my go-to card to measure overall GU game health. This might not be quite as good a measure as tribal decks definitely eat into the demand for PWs. However, I was shocked to see this:

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Compare that with my PW activity:

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To be fair, I was probably just lucky, but in my mind I had figured that two things would drive PW prices down:

  1. Tribal decks don't want PW
  2. ETH entering a bull market while GU cards are priced in $

It appears I was right on both counts. Most players think about card prices in $USD (a mistake if you ask me), but you can see that the $USD prices have fallen. This is the meta effect - I just don't think they are as critical a card anymore.

Second is the ETH pump. ETH is worth much more $USD than it was 2 years ago - and even 10 months ago.

Still, it is shocking to see the combined effect so stark: .015 ETH for a PW!

Diamond hands are apparently not always the path to Valhalla! Glad I sold.

Blade of Whiteplain

Now this goes against every trading advice I've ever read, but I can't help but check BoWP prices because I sold them and always want to know if I made a terrible mistake 😆

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The sell thesis here is related to the PW thesis (tribal decks + ETH pump) but also just a general recognition in the new set(s) that they were purposefully boosting attack stats to 4 to prevent blade from being any good. Also, with both PW and Blade (and any card really) the more sets they release, the less valuable any single card is going to be.

So how did I do?

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In $USD terms, only so so. This seems to suggest the card is still great despite the 4-strength cards being printed. People still want it in their decks (and since most think in $USD), the price has stayed up. However, once again, the bull market in ETH has made a huge difference.

Remember when I said using $USD as your unit of account is a bad idea? I give full credit to CarnivalBigTop for snapping me out of that. Start thinking in ETH. You buy and sell cards for ETH. Look to increase your ETH stack.

Hortuk

Lest you think I'm an oracle, I decided to hold on to Hortuk.

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The main reason? I was still playing at the time, and I was using him in most of my decks.

The $USD price has gone up quite a bit, but I'm down .02 ETH. I don't worry about this one too much, though. I probably should have sold him before taking a break to play Blocklords for 2 months, but that's OK.

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Other interesting bits

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Wow! Tides of Fate took off! Sadly I never bought Francesca. Seems like a fun aggro deck that I would have enjoyed, and I don't have to check GUdecks to realize it's good. The price tells me. I do have Admiral Mayday and Xansiddion. Those were good buys:

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Full disclosure I sold the first mayday at .02 ETH or so back when that was just $40. I'm honestly tempted to sell both of these cards right now before ETH keeps pumping! I'm still breakeven on Xan and a little ahead on Mayday.

Shredder

The last card I wanted to check was 'ol Shredder. I had my eye on this guy for a while, but I figured he'd get diluted by sealed. Looks like I was right (doesn't take a genius - everyone knew this):

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Still, glad I didn't shell out $20 for him since I wasn't going to be playing him for a while.

Moving Forward

What's next? Honestly, there are so many promising web3 projects that it's hard to stay hitched to Gods Unchained. Don't get me wrong, the occasionally aggro dragon death game, foodchain nature, etc. is fun, but holding these expensive cards for control decks I'm unlikely to ever play again doesn't make much sense.

As you can gather, I already downsized my collection by a large margin months ago. These are my most expensive cards remaining:

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I'm for sure holding both Nefs and canopic, because the deck I enjoy most these days is aggro dragon death.

I was hoping for a big pump with the mobile release. We did see new players, but it wasn't the floodgates opening like I was hoping:

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And even worse, you can see the weekly unique player peak is already sliding. Web3 gaming is about to be absolutely saturated with options, and players will be less likely to put up with bugs or hang around unless they are having a great time.

And if you're in it for the money and don't care about fun, you have better options, too:

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Anyway, that's it for me for now. I'm happy to see the usual suspects here grinding, playing, and having fun (I hope!).

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Wow, you bought Admiral Mayday for $22 now it is $71, a profit of $50, nice!

Lately I'm finding myself often thinking about selling everything I have on GU... and maybe use what I get back to start playing something else, as I'm not playing GU since, well, almost 2 years, I believe.

What kind of game is Blocklords Heroes?

!PIZZA

Right now just a grindy farm sim. They are promising a lot more, but it's been a year with no movement...

Many of these games promise a lot but then they never deliver even 1/3 of what they said... quite sad :/

Some cards seem to be priced in dollars, mostly the expensive ones.

Cheap cards I think are priced in ETH and that doesn't change much with ETH price swings.

woah u making a lot from both these games O.O. didnt know blocklords was selling for so much

In many ways, unless you holding stables, you want to sell your cards in the bear market and buy in the bull market as you pay less ETH. I'm still playing Gods but we are getting more options and our time is limited. I wonder if ETH will be the goto for building games in the future, even with IMX, the user experience is terrible and expensive.

Yea I've seen your twitter posts related to fees. It really is nuts. We'll see what the hardfork does here soon + zkevm. I'm actually bullish on IMX - there's just so many quality games committing to it.

But you're right, Gods is going to get crowded out. Only so many hours in a day.

yeah those are some interesting developments and IMX seem to attract the best games so far, but the chain is awful with no dapps and stuff.

Damn!
I never knew this game was this profitable
Keep it up!

Pyramid and blade are 2 cards I want. However they are way out of my budget at the moment. Good review, best regards.

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A New edition with new features

I am not playing this game yet but I have seen posts from people saying that the prices are increasing so there is still time to buy and wait for some time to make profit.

Thanks for sharing thoughts!

Prices in crypto will keep falling until some point imo. Let's say, if a regular player can earn 2-3 GODS a day, Shadow of Lethenon won't cost 2 $GODS even if $GODS price is 10$.

That means there will be a moment when card prices will stop falling in crypto. I personally imagine that it might be 1$ or 1.5$ or 2$ for 1 $GODS. I imagine that card prices in $GODS may drop 2x or so to that moment (if daily $GODS will keep existing). So that will be the moment when I will buy some cards.

better options, blocklords

I have a feeling, I have almost zero mental resources for a new game. :D I will play Holozing, and it will probably the last game in my life. You never know but that's what I currently feel.

And even worse, you can see the weekly unique player peak is already sliding.

The more time for us to collect more $GODS rewards :) I believe things might repeat: when $GODS costs much more (I hope it will happen), many players will join to earn daily $GODS - for many countries in the world, several dollars a day is a good opportunity. All those people won't care about bugs.

If GU is more popular, if people earn less daily GODS, prices for cards might grow in crypto too. As for the top price of $GODS, it will be defined, as I understand, by the influx of money from traders, especially, during the alt season. And this is what I care about the most. Hope the influx will be big.