RE: The virus. A look at the available data & my thoughts. Are you prepared? #COVID2019

Hello Piotr,

due too issues with the test kits in the USA, they decided on using a more complex test kit that would cover testing addittonal diseases (https://www.todayonline.com/world/us-health-authority-shipped-faulty-coronavirus-test-kits-across-country), which explains the low numbers up to date. They're just now receiving functioning simpler test kits nation wide which will probably make the case numbers ramp up quickly!

So in all the turmoil additional issues one would assume that especially in this field KISS (keep it simple stupid) would apply... however...

In Germany the case numbers just started ramping up. The COVID19 incubation phase is approx. 2 weeks so, we'll have to wait for more conclusive data out of Germany.

The EU as a whole has failed in this at least to the extend of little by little adjusting the recommendations of handling the situation and they are in "good" company because imho the WHO alike did an less than exceptional job to say the least.

The experiments, they weren't more than that imo, trying to balance economics with human grievance and life have failed and I'm pretty sure the damages that they were trying to minimize will be even more hefty once the national health care systems breakdown due to being overwhelmed because instead of slowing the spread of COVID19 down we'll see a lot of "BOOM's" I'm afraid.

The really simple math behind the increasingly fast spreading of COVID19 is a simple exponential function. On average every 4 days the "outside of China" cases double. Compounding up to the well known "hockey stick" graphs we all know from crypto back in the "good old days" (2015-2017).

Cheers!
Lucky