I have just published an article that also looks at the fall, the collapse of the economy, if it is opportune, ‘keep an eye on it’. Your analysis is profound and raises scenarios that invite us to reflect on global interdependence and the possible consequences of economic and political decisions. Well, it makes me think about how fragile the balance between national interests and collective well-being can be. No doubt the key is how people and governments react to these challenges. Fear of change can lead to hasty responses, but it can also be an opportunity to seek fairer and more sustainable solutions. Nevertheless, I am confident that international cooperation will prevail over conflict, because we all lose out in a divided world. I do not believe that World War III is yet latent.
I think the only thing stopping world war III at this point, is the RoW lack of stomach for it. No one wants it of course, but the US government is relying on that lack of desire to force countries to bow. I am not sure it is a good gamble at this point of human history.
What is certain, the current economy doesn't work for 99% of the global population, so it has to change, otherwise there will be revolution anyway. That might be better, but it will mean a lot of violence at all levels.