Another factor that influences at least the perceived inflation rate is variations in the percentage of Steem/Hive that is vested vs. liquid:
https://peakd.com/hive-174578/@preparedwombat/the-hive-power-you-earn-for-holding-hive-power
Granted, that’s the rate of return on vested tokens rather than the creation of tokens.
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That's a good point. We can break total inflation down into liquid inflation, circulating supply etc. Liquid inflation can be enormous when an exchange is powering down.