As always, well researched Jase! I always enjoy reading your articles. Timing is always the challenge. Finding over and undervalued assets can be seemingly easier. No one wants to be that contrarian thinker who arrives two hours before the party starts. The difficulty with real estate is that it can take so long to unwind the asset. By the time you discover the economy has tanked, no one is loaning money and it doesn't matter anyway because no one is buying. Scary times indeed.
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Hey Matt! Great to see you on here!
Yeah very true. What do you think of all these Aussie first home buyers taking out interest only loans? This is the first signs I've seen that the banks may be writing some subprime loans.
I spoke to my mortgage broker last week about this. He said the regulations are still extremely strict despite the marketing that is out there. Having an adequate deposit, undervaluing an asset, insisting on having a guarantor or paying higher interest rates are their methods for ensuring security. I understand he is biased and that being upbeat about the Aussie market is his bread and butter. Part of me wonders whether the big banks of the world are idiots who can't manage money or evil geniuses who stand to benefit when the it all collapses. I think they are double dipping and are completely protected for either side of the market.