I'll have to vote for Ireland in this one. Japan are a decent team with good pace and some decent players but Ireland have a full and talented squad that should have too much for them. After today I can see Japan beating Scotland and getting out of the group. Especially with the home advantage.
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Sounds reasonable that Ireland will beat Japan, but of course, if Japan will play far above average, and Ireland come in on a poor day, it might get a bit exciting at least. But, as you said, the match between Japan and Scotland might turn really interesting! :)