Dear @valued-customer !
Do you think Trump will give Putin some of Ukraine's territory?
Many East Asians speculate that Putin will receive some of Ukraine's territory and stop the war.
I also speculate that China could start a new war against the US to take over Taiwan and the Korean Peninsula!
Thank you for kind ansewr!
I hope your health and long life!
Trump doesn't have any of the Ukraine to give away. Could Trump demand that the Ukraine cede territory to Russia? He probably could. After WWII Germany was forced to cede large swaths of territory to it's neighbors. Will he? I have absolutely no competence to judge what Trump thinks is politically possible, beneficial, or acceptable to the parties involved.
All that being said, I doubt very much that Putin will be willing to forego any of the territory Russia has taken from the Ukraine (and the US, who has been paying the Ukraine to fight Russia), and am confident that the Donbass will have to be free from the Ukraine before Russia will even contemplate an end to taking it by force, as they have been. Much of the population of the Donbass is ethnically Rus, and have close family in Russia, which is why Russia intervened to stop the terrorist attacks and looming slaughter the Ukraine was massing troops on the border of the Donbass in 2022 to commit. Putin isn't just going to walk away from them now, no matter what Trump or anyone else says.
The only real power Trump has in the matter is the power of the purse that has been paying the Ukraine to wage war against Russia and the Russian people in the Ukraine, and just closing the purse will cause the Ukraine to revert to being Russian territory as soon as Russia takes it by force, back to what it was before it was carved out as an autonomous republic of the USSR in the 1920s. Zhelensky will prefer to make a lot of concessions that prevent that from happening, and the Donbass is first on the list, IMHO.
China could, of course, start a war at any time. Xi Jinping doesn't strike me as a particularly ruthless warlord. He strikes me as a particularly ruthless technocrat, and an aging one at that, governing a massive country with an even more massive population, that is facing some challenges that would not be reduced or helped by throwing its manpower into a war that will surely reduce their number. Since one of the primary challenges China is facing today is a demographic collapse, that is far worse in China than the rest of the world because of their former policies restricting family size, I really think that such a course of action would be extremely rash and counterproductive to solving the challenges China is facing. China didn't need to fight any wars for Hong Kong and Hainan. I don't think fighting a war over Taiwan or other E. Asian territory is high on Xi's list of things to do.
Of course, I neither have remotely anything like competence to predict what China will do, or what Trump has in mind regarding China. Trump certainly has some policies regarding China, one of the US's primary trade partners, and economic and financial matters. He's talked about eliminating the income tax completely and replacing that funding of government with tariffs, and our largest trading partners are where most of that funding would come from, and that means China. Who knows what Trump intends?
Not me.
Edit: these guys claim to have some insight.
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-trump-putin-1983181
Thank you for kind answer!