Season 2017-2018 Review | 382W-324L-115P | +14726€ Profit

[costanza]

---

The 30 Week Regular Season from the Belgian Jupiler League ended a couple days ago. To close things down, I'm making a small review of the results and my overall experience making posts about it on Steemit the entire season.

---

Results

This season saw excellent results with a +7.22% ROI after 821 Bets and I was pretty much on the good side of variance all season long. Even though the sample size of 800+ bets might seem big, in reality it's not as there is so much variance involved in this game and many of the individual smaller bets also depended on a similar outcome. Given the fact that previous seasons were also profitable it's safe to say that this market is still beatable. Taking a closer look into the numbers might give some clues on what is most profitale on how to slightly tweak things for next season.

League	Bets	ROI
Jupiler League	734	+6.08%
Belgian Teams (Europe and Cup)	87	+16.90%

These numbers are line with last season and show the Champions League, Europa League and Cup matches from Belgian teams being highly profitable. It's tricky often not knowing that much about the opponents, but this seems to be even more the case for the bookmakers and everyone betting on these matches.

Stakes	Bets	ROI
Full	12	+0.32%
Medium	144	+5.51%
Small	372	+4.27%
Tiny	256	+12.83%
Limited	36	+40.38%

I rarely bet anything with full stakes in 1 bet and not without reason as these bets have underperformed this and last year. The sample is very small though. The tiny bets have performed excellent most likely because they are usually bet when I allready have some riding on a certain side and am forced to take some extra because the odds get too good to resist. The limited bets are bets where I was unable to take the stakes I wanted. These are almost guaranteed to show very high profit and really show the difficulty difference in beating the market with really small vs somewhat bigger stakes.

Type	Bets	ROI
League Pre-Game	139	+13.26%
League Live	420	-0.72%
League Corners	175	+15.73%
-
Belgian Teams Pre	8	+88.35%
Belgian Teams Live	66	+3.10%
Belgian Teams Corners	13	+31.87%

While I would call myself mainly a live bettor, this season actually saw a minor loss in regular live bets in the League. Last year things were reversed with a pre-game loss and Live profit. It surely is something I will keep an eye at for next season, but I see no real reason to doubt or real concern as for now. The corners have been very consistent each year and have been highly profitable despite the bigger juice. It again shows that markets with smaller limits are more easy to beat.

Odds	Bets	ROI
2.30+	133	+6.04%

I force myself to take more of these higher odd quotes as the past has shown them to give a better return. Nothing Spectacular this season but I will keep doing this and develop my eye for these kind of high return betting opportunities.

---

Season 2017-2018 Results Graph.

---

Steemit Posts

I have made both weekly Previews and Personal Results posts in a very disciplined way without ever skipping or rushing things. This really helped me to stay sharp the entire season and to me it has been one of the biggest benefits of using Steemit because I was not able to allow myself to slack. This sometimes was a problem in the past. I will keep using Steemit in a similar way not making posts just for the sake of making posts, but posting things that mainly have a function to help myself in a style that might be enjoyable to follow and potentially educational for those who are interested.

---

2017-2018 Results Posts Week 30 Results +229€ Profit Week 29 Results -795€ Loss Week 28 Results +2375€ Profit Week 27 Results -454€ Loss Week 26 Results +2573€ Profit Week 25 Results -2481€ Loss Week 24 Results -2015€ Loss Week 23 Results +2490€ Profit Week 22 Results +2707€ Profit Week 21 Results +686€ Profit Week 20 Results -336€ Loss Week 19 Results -641€ Loss Week 18 Results +50€ Profit Week 17 Results +1425€ Profit Week 16 Results +779€ Profit Week 15 Results -627€ Loss Week 14 Results -661€ Loss Week 13 Results +318€ Profit Week 12 Results +509€ Profit Week 11 Results +407€ Profit Week 10 Results +548€ Profit Week 09 Results +3054€ Profit Week 08 Results -82€ Loss Week 07 Results +3354€ Profit Week 06 Results +2251€ Profit Week 05 Results -645€ Loss Week 04 Results 1423€ Loss Week 03 Results -861€ Loss Week 02 Results +714€ Profit Week 01 Results +1091€ Profit

2017-2018 Preview Posts Week 30 Previews Week 29 Previews Week 28 Previews Week 27 Previews Week 26 Previews Week 25 Previews Week 24 Previews Week 23 Previews Week 22 Previews 2017-2018 Roundup Posts Week 20 Roundup Week 19 Roundup Week 17 Roundup Week 16 Roundup Week 15 Roundup Week 14 Roundup Week 13 Roundup Week 12 Roundup Week 11 Roundup Week 10 Roundup Week 09 Roundup Week 08 Roundup Week 07 Roundup Week 06 Roundup Week 05 Roundup Week 04 Roundup Week 03 Roundup Week 02 Roundup Week 01 Roundup

---

I decided to skip the play-offs and will be back with these posts when the 2018-2019 Season starts. Thanks to everyone for reading, commenting and upvoting all season long !

---

Comments

[beat-the-bookies]

Congrats @costanza, not just on the good performance in betting but for keeping yourself disciplined and consistent throughout the season.

Here's to the next season!

source

[braveboat]

I second this!

[braveboat]

A terrific result! Congratulations!

Now what? lol

[costanza]

I have been thinking about my spring and summer plans this last week. Haven't fully made my mind up yet, but I will most likely take 100 days off from betting and put all my full focus on some self-development. (eat healthy , work out a lot, improve social life, ...) I will keep using Steemit as a way to blog about it to help me stay focussed and motivated.

[inittowinit]

Amazing results mate!
King of Belgian football without a doubt, big respect!

Let's rock these play offs together ;-)!

[costanza]

I'm thinking about skipping the play-offs, play-off 2 is a real torture to watch and in the last years I got burned out a bit during the play-offs and never really kept stats and situational spot. How was your regular season ?

[inittowinit]

Not the best season I had but my focus wasn't always there so only myself to blame.
I took 171 bets this season and had an roi of 1.89%. Not the best of years but at least I'm not down. I took a very small number of bets even for my standards but I had 2 months which I didn't bet more than 10 bets because of other priorities.

[minnowpowerup]

You have collected your daily Power Up! This post received an upvote worth of 0.22$.
Learn how to Power Up Smart here!