What precious metals can teach us about cryptocurrencies

in #money8 years ago

While cryptocurrencies are in a brand new asset class, they have much in  common with precious metals, the most historically interesting  commodity group. To see what we might learn about the future by  examining the past, read on. 

1) There is more than one.

First, you may have heard  about Bitcoin, and some of the other popular alternative currencies such  as Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple, but there are thousands more, most  of which are essentially worthless. Similarly, the top dog in the  precious metals world is gold, but others such as silver, platinum, and  even palladium maintain an active user base. Further down the chain is a  heap of other metals that never gained a following.

2) They have varying degrees of scarcity. 

With precious metals, the typical denomination is the ounce, but when  looking at the scarcity of an element, we need to take into account the  total number of ounces that have been pulled from the ground. All of  the precious metals vary in their overall quantity. One ounce of gold is  quite different than one ounce of platinum, which we’ll explore in a  moment.

With cryptocurrencies, the typical denomination is, well,  the number 1. It can be a little confusing, since there isn’t anything  tangible to hold in our hands and count, but similar to precious metals,  we can look at the total number of units available, and determine what  proportion of the overall pie a single unit represents. For instance,  there are about 17 million bitcoins in the world today, so 170,000  bitcoins should be thought of as 1% of the total.

Getting back to  gold and platinum, looking at their market prices for 1 ounce, you may  draw the wrong conclusions about their abundance. Gold has been trading  at around $1,200 and platinum at $950. Yet in reality, platinum is 4  orders of magnitude scarcer than gold! That’s right, there is 10,000  times more gold (6.5 billion ounces) available than platinum (500,000  ounces). All of the platinum ever mined throughout history could fit in a  cubic box 25 feet on each side.

To own 1% of the world’s gold,  you would need to purchase 65,000,000 ounces which would set you back  about $78 billion. To own 1% of the world’s platinum, you would need to  purchase 5,000 ounces, which would only cost you $4.8 million.

3) They have unique properties. 

The market price for precious metals is similar to cryptocurrencies in  that certain properties make them better or worse suited for different  applications. Gold is highly resistant to corrosion, making it great for  storing long term, or in an industrial manner as a conductive end piece  in electrical connections. It’s not the best conductor (copper is), but  it serves that specific purpose the best. All precious metals share  properties to some degree that make them great money such as durability,  fungibility, difficulty to fake, etc. 

Likewise, cryptocurrencies carve out different niches in the ecosystem.  Bitcoin serves well as a trusted, secure, and censorship resistant  accounting system. Ethereum serves well as a flexible and decentralized  application platform. They each have a market price based on the demand  for their uses, both monetary and industrial. 

4) Most people don’t have any. 

If you were to divide the gold and silver evenly throughout the world,  each citizen would receive about 1 ounce of gold and 10 ounces of  silver. That’s a surprisingly low bar to enter the  more-than-average-amount-of-precious-metals club. The reality is that  most people don’t own any, despite knowing about them. Estimates vary  depending on the country, but a conservative figure is that less than 5%  of the global population has any gold or silver to their name. 

With cryptocurrencies the percentage is even lower, and not surprisingly  considering how new they are to the world. In many ways, their overall  penetration in the market should be expected to be higher than that of  precious metals. After all, to acquire and store cryptocurrencies all  you need is a smart phone, and more than 4 billion people use those. 

The basic lessons is that both precious metals and cryptocurrencies  share a rich market-based ecosystem, where trade-offs in certain  properties define their use and value. Furthermore, cryptocurrencies can  still be successful even with modest global adoption, but considering  their disruptive and exponential growth over the past 8 years, we can  reasonably expect them surpass precious metals in overall adoption. 

Source: The breadwallet blog

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I really enjoyed your comparison. You made cryptoworld and trading very much underatandable. I have been trading a lot on the crypto market but am still a beginner. This clears up a lot. This post needs a resteem. Thanks for sharing

This isn't my comparison, I'm reposting from the breadwallet blog, but I'm glad that sharing this helped you :^)

Interesting! Comparison

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