Hey Greg, you're question is a bit out of my league but based on everything that I have learned from you over the past few years, and your prior observations regarding the flattening yield curve, it sure make sense that the market is beginning to reprice itself. You're observations are invaluable and I continue to learn daily. As always, much appreciated and I continue to look forward to paying it forward.
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I do have some Apr 20th puts that I bought last week that are currently profitable with one specific put significantly profitable. The question I have is based on yesterdays bond/market action, how to proceed over the next two days, especially with the Holliday weekend approaching. If the Fed is starting to lose control of their ability to prop up this market with their bond purchases, and money looking for a "safe haven" continues to move into bonds further inverting the yield curve, I'm thinking that this might be stock market negative over the next couple of days. But then again I might be trying to be too cute and I certainly don't want to underestimate the power of the Fed/Government and their ability to prop this market up as evidenced by the last 10 years has been crazy.
Dangit, I can't find my crystal ball :(