@dollarvigilante, what if you were wrong and nothing happens by the end day of the Jubilee Year on October 2nd?
Blockchain is very good in timestamping things, I think this might be very helpful to track predictions and proving them right or wrong.
So I think it would be a nice practice if someone who posts a prediction on this platform also puts some criteria that proves it right or wrong - what events need to happen or not happen and by what date.
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Augur is to launch soon, which will hopefully provide some good ways to assess predictions ;)
He already said that the world economy would collapse last September. He just keeps kicking the can down the road, pretending that everything's gonna go to shit "tomorrow." Reminds me of that old cartoon Asterix where the villagers believed that the sky would fall on their heads tomorrow. The chief would calm people by reminding them that "tomorrow never comes."
I think that by posting criterea people would never have their predictions come true and would go out of buisness (just watch bitva extransensov on youtube) =)
Its easier to post a vague prediction, so it can be interpreted in different ways when time comes
There is a solution for that dilemma (of not knowing the future): Plan for the worst, but hedge it so that if the worst doesn't happen, you still have no regrets. Examples:
You profit either way: if no collapse happens you have a more meaningful life. If things do collapse, you "just" have harder times, you aren't completely devastated. You also get to be a part of the solution on the other side of the bang.