To be honest, I never agreed with this rule in the NBA. Since although it is true that the intention was that at university level players expand their horizons and not make wrong decisions. We will never know if this rule was successful or not, because as you say, we can not know what did not happen. I personally believe that many of the players and current stars of the NBA as Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant, Blake Griffin and many more, were already prepared to go to the NBA since high school, and that year by the NCAA despite Give them a little maturity, it did not greatly influence academically speaking if it was what they wanted. The G-League seems to me a more formal proposal, as it would be more related to the NBA and players could through this improve to debut in the NBA. With better salaries in the G-league no doubt the players will be more comfortable with this plan, and something if I'm sure is that they must make a decision on this issue, as we are once again witnessing young talents that from the high school are ready for the NBA, Zion Williamson is one of them. Here I leave my humble opinion, everything about the NBA I like to discuss it.
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I agree that there are definitely the Kyries, KD's, and Blake Griffin's of the world, but think about all the guys that went straight from high school and completely flamed out (Sebastian Telfair, Kwame Brown, Eddy Curry, etc.) . The hope is that the new system will be able to build a better process for guys that need time to better themselves and their game in order to play at the highest level.