Why Trump won in 2024 — and why questioning the 2020 results wasn’t so out of line

in #philosophy14 days ago (edited)

After playing through the games “Socrates Jones — Pro Philosopher” and its sequel a couple weeks back, I found myself suddenly infected with a deep craving for the Socratic method — and, given the election season buzz, I couldn’t resist applying it to the big question: Why did Trump win in 2024? So let’s dive in.

As the dust settles on Trump’s 2024 victory, plenty of theories are floating around, from voter frustration to policy preferences. But sometimes, the simplest answer is the right one. Here’s why Trump bagged his second term, why the “fascist” label falls flat, and why it wasn’t totally wild to question the 2020 election numbers.

1. Why Trump Won in 2024

A. Policy-centric campaign

  • While the Democrats aimed for character takedowns, Trump stuck to a clear message: economy, security, and state rights. His policy-focused approach made voters feel he was talking sense.
  • In contrast, many voters felt that the Democratic campaign was mired in “woke culture” — focusing heavily on identity and social justice issues that didn’t resonate with everyone. For those facing daily struggles around finances, security, or local issues, the fixation on these topics felt irrelevant, or even frustrating.

B. Small government, big appeal

  • Trump championed less federal intervention, leaving more decisions up to the states — especially on thorny issues like abortion. It was a no-frills approach that played well with voters leery of big government (centered on virtue signaling and identity politics) calling all the shots.
  • The Democrats, meanwhile, pushed for more federal control, but many voters saw it as an extension of the same “woke” agenda that, to them, had drifted too far from practical governance. Autonomy for the win.

C. Voters: Just plain done with the status quo

  • A large chunk of voters felt that the Democrats were more focused on preserving the status quo than addressing issues they actually cared about. Trump’s call to “return power to the people” resonated with those who felt ignored by the system and overwhelmed by a culture war that seemed far removed from their daily lives.

D. Two more nails in the coffin for the Harris campaign

  • Towards the end of the campaign, two major incidents tipped the scales further against Harris. First, there was an uproar after a joke by a comedian in a Trump Rally calling Puerto Rico “a floating island of garbage.” The Democratic-led media pounced, using it to attack Trump indirectly — but instead, it came off as tone-deaf and heavy-handed. The criticism didn’t sit well with many voters, especially the Hispanic communities they were attempting to bait into outrage.
  • Then came Biden’s statement referring to Trump’s supporters as “garbage,” which, rather than rallying the Democratic base, seemed to alienate half of the voting population. In the end, these missteps only strengthened Trump’s appeal among groups the Democrats assumed would side with them, especially Hispanic voters who turned out overwhelmingly in Trump’s favor.

2. The “fascist” label that doesn’t quite stick

A. Does it fit?

  • Throwing around terms like “fascist” is easy in the heat of an election, but Trump's approach never quite matched the label. Fascism is about centralizing power, censoring opposition, and strict speech control — all of which are counter to Trump’s platform of state autonomy and support for free speech.
  • He wasn’t exactly the kind of “fascist” who wanted to amass all the control — more the opposite, really. (Imagine a fascist who's like, “Nah, you guys handle it at the state level.”)
  • Ironically, after two assassination attempts, the over-the-top rhetoric from Democrats painted Trump less as a dictator and more as a target. In the eyes of many, the constant comparisons to history's worst villains had shifted from critique to provocation.

B. About January 6th

  • January 6th is often held up as a smoking gun for Trump’s alleged authoritarianism, but in reality, the event began as a permitted demonstration that spiraled out of control. Trump’s actual words on the day? He said: “peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard.”
  • And while tragic losses from that day are frequently referenced to frame January 6th as an insurrection, they don’t necessarily reflect the intent or classification of the event itself. Philosophically speaking, much of the discourse around January 6th leans more on emotion than on logical analysis of Trump’s actions — a reminder that, as in any debate, separating feelings from facts is key to understanding.

3. The 2020 election results: Why the skepticism?

A. Turnout surge of 2020: Kind of odd

  • In 2020, we saw a nearly 20% spike in turnout — a jump that goes beyond the usual election-year bump. Sure, mail-in voting expanded, but can that alone explain the leap, especially when there wasn’t a major bump in eligible voters?
  • Statistically speaking, a leap like that would give anyone pause, especially someone accustomed to reading the data tea leaves.

B. Voter base flexibility: Stretching it?

  • For that kind of turnout increase to be legit, we’d have to assume the voter base suddenly became super-engaged overnight. Yet, the U.S. population only grew by about 2% between 2016 and 2020. Without a massive shift in who’s eligible to vote, the numbers look… off.

C. Mail-in ballots and anomalies galore

  • Mail-in voting reached record highs in 2020, but typically you’d expect mail-in numbers to replace in-person votes, not add an extra 20% of voters.
  • It was the late-night, mail-in ballot surge in certain swing states that got eyebrows raised. In any normal data set, an outlier like that would prompt a closer look.

D. Conclusion on questioning the results

  • Given these factors, Trump’s skepticism isn’t surprising — and really, who wouldn’t want to take a second look? A democracy thrives on transparency, and questioning unusual results is a natural part of keeping the process clean and honest.

The Grand Takeaway: Trump’s win in 2024

Trump’s 2024 victory reflects more than just political trends; it highlights a philosophical pivot toward questioning the narratives we’re fed and focusing on what truly matters. His policy-driven campaign, stripped of fluff and rich with direct solutions, resonated with a public that felt lost in the noise. Emphasizing state autonomy and bread-and-butter issues over “woke” culture, Trump captured the votes of those who wanted substance over style. And his doubts about 2020? A classic case of questioning the numbers — a reminder that in any healthy democracy, it’s essential to question the story we’re told.

My recent plunge into Socrates Jones and Pro Philosopher 2 taught me something profound about this: true democracy thrives on honest questioning, whether in our leaders, our media, or ourselves. The Socratic method champions inquiry as a route to truth, and just like in the games, we don’t find the answers by sticking to easy assumptions — we get there by dissecting, doubting, and discussing. Trump’s skepticism about 2020 wasn’t just a “denial” of the system; it reflected a demand for transparency, a standard we should hold for all leaders.

What’s next? The executive order ping-pong

Now that Trump’s back in office, brace yourselves for The Executive Order Olympics, Part II. Executive orders have become the sticky notes of American governance — quick to post, easy to peel off. Remember all those repeals Biden made from Trump’s first term? Well, it’s Trump’s turn again in The Return of the Executive Orders: Trump Strikes Back.

As we enter 2025, here’s what to expect:

  • A push for state autonomy and smaller government, likely with a dash of pointed commentary on federal overreach.
  • Less focus on “woke” narratives and more emphasis on policies that speak to everyday needs like jobs and security.
  • And, of course, a cyclical game of executive orders as the political table tennis match continues.

Trump’s win signals a shift in the national conversation, where policy takes precedence over personality and substance outweighs soundbites. But this isn’t just a call to our politicians; it’s a call to all of us, from the media to everyday citizens, to adopt the spirit of philosophical inquiry in every aspect of public discourse.

As we look to future elections — everywhere, not just in the U.S. — the need for inquiry is universal. Whether we’re voting or broadcasting, it’s time to question the narrative, seek transparency, and value the truth. Because in a world filled with headlines and hashtags, it’s only through thoughtful questioning that we’ll find clarity.

So let’s grab our popcorn, maybe crack open a few philosophy books, and get ready for a term that promises to challenge not only our politics but also our approach to questioning the world around us.

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Thanks for sharing your thoughts. Very interesting and well structured piece. I didn’t have the time to follow what’s happening there so your detailed analysis is very informative.

But I have the feeling that he was allowed a relatively easy and hassle free passage to the post. I think there’s some unexpected ambush or nasty surprises hidden from people to make them complacent and reckless. Be on guard!

Have a nice day!

Hi!

Thanks for your thoughtful reply! I appreciate your perspective, especially your point about potential hidden challenges. Are you suggesting that the straightforward win could mask some deeper issues or traps that might later create unexpected challenges?

I'd love to hear more if you have any further insights.