You got that right to a T, you are %100 right about that. I used to swim in the ocean every year at the end of August the water would start to warm up from the water drifting from Hawaii
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Yeah. what happens is that during late summer (of the northern hemisphere) the entire planetary wind system begins to shift southward. Northern California gradually enters the zone where westerly winds prevail. That puts a stop to the upwelling of cold water. Paradoxically, the weakening of the power of the sun coincides with the surface waters getting warmer.