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RE: The Shy Voter Phenomenon

in #politics4 years ago

Took this bet as the odds, as you describe, were favorable. I knew the risks of a contested election. But honestly, I opened a bottle of wine and lit a cigar in the afternoon of the day being 100% confident in success. My bookie says the result will be declared based on "reputable sources" and not any judicial action. I know I lost, but out of all my losses, this one leaves a real sour taste in my mouth. I took the same bet in 2016 at 4-1 so I can't complain, but I hate the feeling of being right and still losing. I think the international betting market doesn't fully understand how the US election works or the situation with the inaccurate polling causing the discrepancies in the odds in both Trump elections.

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Ouch. You took the outright win and not the +100.5? I traded out the outright win when I saw what was happening and the market started to flip but now I've even got the +100.5 in doubt. I've been hedging it by Laying Red in North Carolina which is possibly the last state that Red wins that could cover the spread if the current trend is unchanged.

My bookie says the result will be declared based on "reputable sources" and not any judicial action.

What does that even mean?? It sounds dodgy as all hell. It's probably in line with the dodginess we're seeing this election, but still...if they shaft you on a clause like that then it should be curtains for their PR. Good luck man, it's not a done deal yet and if they uncover widespread voter fraud it could all flip back again very quickly so keep a cigar and fresh quart handy just in case ;)

I think the international betting market doesn't fully understand how the US election works or the situation with the inaccurate polling causing the discrepancies in the odds in both Trump elections.

Totally agree. Sometimes having a bit of common sense and the ability to think for yourself can earn you a nice windfall in markets like these.

I'm not really a punter. I've only placed 2 serious bets in my life both on Trump because the odds were so good. So I don't know the correct strategies to employ. My bookie is one of those BTC sites that I use to play free online poker only as playing online poker with real money is illegal for Australians.

Off-topic: I scored a gold coin from a garage sale. I took it to my local gold place and they said they would pay $300 for the weight. It's dated 1871. It has Latin writing. On one side it says Britannium Regina Fid Del and has a British coat of arms. On the other side is a face of a woman and the words Victoria Dei Gratia 1871. Does this coin have any collector value or is it just gold?

THISYou should definitely take good quality photos of it, weigh it and make a post on here with the tag #silvergoldstackers include the photos ask the questions. Very, VERY knowledgeable people on here will help you. They'll tell you what is it, the purity and it's value. It sounds like a "sovereign" - possibly something like

Don't trust some local gold place to give you a fair price. Most would low-ball you for certain - especially if they think you don't know what you've got.

Thanks mate will do. That's exactly the coin.