I tottaly get that, and usually assume it's a win when teams play with reserves, which doesn't always happen.
They do base their odds on stats I have noticed that, and honestly stats like corners, offsides are not good for much, when it comes to predict 1x2. I've used alot the combination of pass success, shots per game and ball possession% to predict outcomes, which also plays into the bookies odds. Around 55/45 ratio with a big part of the wins being 1.3 odds But lately I've been studing with goal diference and the home advantage calculation, I think im on to something lol
Like with any other method, using stats or technical theory, you have to implement the same everygame, so you can see the results after 100 games. I haven't been doing this. Every game it's a diferent strategy, and the results have been disapointing.
It's going to take me a while to find one or two more things I can rely on.
You are viewing a single comment's thread from: