Seems to me your thought process is pretty sound and solid! Besides, you're pretty much a full-timer... at least it seems like "If @jaynie is awake, @jaynie is posting.* So there's that.
Yes, people are fickle. And definitely illogical... I probably am, too. But I increasingly just toss it all out there and we just get to see where it lands...
yes... I kind of like that approach - luck of the draw hahahaha!!! ;)