I do value speculation and imagination. I know you do too. It is a necessary step in the pursuit of answers. It is the hypothesis stage of the scientific method. The danger is when people treat their speculations as fact and forget it began as them guessing at a possible explanation for something they observed, or even worse "simply heard about".
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Yup...if the data doesn't support the hypothesis then the hypothesis is fiction.
That's why I'm agnostic in all things. It's not possible to prove something right...it's only possible to prove it to be wrong.