My best bet was yesterday (20/08/2018), Asian Games Group F final matches, to decide which teams can progress to knockout stage.
Before match Group League Table
Those matches are Iran vs Myanmar & North Korea vs Saudi Arabia in which both matches were kicked off at the same time.
The main focus of these matches was none of team would like to face South Korea in knockout stage, but unfortunately if the team got the first place of the match, they need to face South Korea.
After finishing first half, North Korea has scored 2 goals to Saudi Arabia. But the match of Iran was still 0-0.
At this moment, Iran previously expected Saudi Arabia could win North Korea in an easy way, but they calculated wrong. Then the first 6 minutes in second half proved it. North Korea scored the third goals against Saudi Arabia.
Iran just thought they have "secured" the first place. Holy! Need to face South Korea, but not Bangladesh or China.
It is the time for me to get in and bet Iran will lose. Iran will not "surrender" in the race of not chasing the first place. They need to lose.
Right after 5 minutes of North Korea goals, Myanmar scored one goal against Iran. Nobody expected this happen.
And that's still not enough for Iran. They needed to lose more. So I bet Asian handicap (-1.75) on Myanmar (fishy odd). At the same time, North Korea ans Saudi Arabia also noticed the action of Iran, they rather not scored any more, so I bet Asian total 4.0 on them (still a fishy odd indeed!).
After 10 minutes, Iran really lost one more goals to Myanmar. Now Iran 0-2 Myanmar, North Korea 3-0 Saudi Arabia.
But now Iran could not afford to lose one more, or they could be eliminated instead. Iran got trapped! At the same time, no further goal in North Korea vs Saudi Arabia match.
That's one of my favourite moment of this week. Thank you.
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Excellent bet-story! It would be funny if Myanma scored one more goal)
That was some great analysis @lovetaxi005!
Well done!