Silver prices are rising along the bottom of a 20 year log scale trend channel (shown later). There are no guarantees in a manipulated paper market, such as COMEX silver, but it is possible that silver prices will collapse further, or more likely, move substantially higher, sooner rather than later.
Silver prices COULD fall from their current level of $16 – $17 to under $10. Other events that COULD occur include:
You could win the Powerball Lottery.
The U.S. congress could balance the budget and reduce debt.
The Federal Reserve could apologize for destroying the dollar.
President Putin and Hillary could sing "Kumbaya" together.
The Middle-East could ascend into a century of peace.
And it is possible that silver prices could drop under $10.
But realistically, we know:
- The Federal Reserve has devalued the dollar for over a century and is openly advocating for at least 2% inflation – more devaluation. Expect continuing declines in the purchasing power of the dollar.
- The U.S. congress, the President, the military, thousands of military contractors, the medical/health/sick care system, and millions of people collecting Social Security do NOT want spending decreased. Expect more spending, deficits, ever-increasing debt, and of course, more consumer price inflation. Silver prices will rise.
- Silver prices have risen exponentially for the past 90 years as the dollar has been consistently devalued. Expect continued silver price rises. See log scale graph below.
SILVER TO GOLD RATIO:
Examine the silver to gold ratio for the past 27 years. Low silver to gold ratios indicate long-term buy zones for silver. Silver prices are there now.
How High Will Silver Prices Rise?
The answer depends upon many variables. A partial list includes:
- COMEX silver prices are "managed" by large players, including JPM, which previously have wanted silver prices to remain low. That may be changing. Read Ted Butler.
- How rapidly will the Fed and commercial banking increase the supply of dollars and how much will they devalue the dollar?
- How extreme will our political circus become? Distractions will be necessary. The usual response is war after a suitable scapegoat has been identified.
- "False Flag" operations may direct blame and attention away from policy failures and toward some "common enemy." Wars increase silver prices.
- When will U.S. citizens lose confidence in the dollar?
- How rapidly will foreign countries including China, Russia and Saudi Arabia redirect commerce away from the dollar?
- Hyper-inflation or 1970s style inflation?
- Rise of the IMF and Special Drawing Rights as a global currency?
SUMMARY:
Silver prices for the next decade are dependent upon many unknowns. However, a conservative chart interpretation is shown below.
The log trend channel has contained most silver prices for the past 20 years. A "more of the same" financial world suggests silver prices will rise toward $100 in the next 5 – 7 years.
A more aggressive chart interpretation shows prices for silver peaks rising rapidly during the past 17 years.
A blow-off rally in silver – quite possible – suggests silver prices rallying toward $200 – $300 per ounce. For comparison, Bitcoin was $3 a few years ago and recently exceeded $1,700. Amazon stock sold for about a buck 20 years ago. Today it is near $1,000. Silver near $200 is not impossible in a few years.
CONCLUSIONS:
- .Silver prices have risen exponentially for 90 years as the dollar has been devalued. Expect further devaluation and higher silver prices.
- .There are many financial and political catalysts that could propel silver prices well over $100.
- .A conservative graphical interpretation shows $100 silver within a few years.
- . A "blow-off" graphical interpretation shows $200 – $300 silver is possible in a few years.
- . If the powers-that-be create or can't stop hyper-inflation of the dollar, $500 silver will look inexpensive by the end of next decade.
- .It is difficult to look beyond our "normalcy bias" and consider the possibility that the DOW could drop more than 50%, like it did in the 2008 crisis, or silver could increase in price by over a factor of 30, like it did from 1971 – 1980.
- . Read Steve St. Angelo: Amazing Leverage in Silver Market.
- . Read "Silver and Gold Find Support."
- . The "silver train" has not left the station … yet.
Gary Christenson
The Deviant Investor
It's only a matter of time before money starts flooding into metals as a safe haven.
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https://crushthestreet.com/articles/guest-articles/silver-train-leaving-station-soon
The cup and handle pattern is huge, and when it completes, there will be a massive breakout to the upside. I'm expecting more than $64 an ounce. I guesstimate $250-$500.
Most people can not afford Bitcoin or Ethereum.... and compared to many Cryptos, Silver is a great price. Welcome to Steemit @crushthestreet and thanks for sharing this article.
One can buy bitcoins with sums like 5 dollars
But do most folks think like that, or do they just look at the unit price and say wow too expensive?
It's their loss, really. And yes, they probably will think that without further education on the issue which is a shame!
Brought 20 ounces of silver this week. It's not much but it made the stack higher 😀
I bought my silver in the fall of 2015 when Bo Polny said to buy. So glad I did because I was going to buy Bitcoin when it was $3 but didn't and missed it for example.
What about the industrial uses of silver and clif highs prediction that silver will become so valuable that those who have it will be remembered for generations? Do you see it becoming less of a store of wealth and more of an industrial asset?
Personally, I think the most likely is that I will win the Powerball. Yes, this time it will happen. I can feel it!!
Excellent post! Informative, lots of charts and has a bullet point conclusion...Thank you. Yes, investing in silver will definitely be the best type of investment that the every day person can make.