I am in exactly the same position. I chose to miss January's smartrewards (700+) to set up my nodes early. The node rewards so far leaves me feeling I should not break my future rewards to set up a new nodes as it my not break even in terms of noderewards. In making the decision to choose between smartnodes or smartrewards let not forget the cost of hosting takes awake from it being passive due to the possibility of updates to the codes or VPs services.
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Yep, it’s a tricky thing. I’ve set up my nodes on dedicated hardware with IPs I’ve already purchased so I don’t have any additional costs at this point to add more nodes beyond losing out on the SmartRewards. I think they were at around 3.3% this month? If that goes down a lot more then it may make sense to set up the nodes as the nodes will continue to give rewards into the future (though those reward amounts are decreasing as well).