Here are my predictions for the 26th September 2017.
| Match | Prediction | Probability | My Odds | Betfair Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol v Bolton | Bristol | 77.48 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Hull v Preston | Hull | 70.71 | 1.41 | 2.20 |
| Middlesbrough v Norwich | Middlesbrough | 73.47 | 1.36 | 1.9 |
| Millwall v Reading | Millwall | 66.59 | 1.50 | 2.15 |
I'm going to bet these just on paper for a week or two to confirm my win rate holds at an acceptable level before doing any actual gambling. So I'll start with an imaginary £10 pot and put a £1 single bet on each prediction. When the pot gets above £20, I'll raise the bet to £2, over £30, £3, etc. I'll drop the bet in a similar way if the pot starts to drop too but only down to the £1 minimum.
I'll be predicting from English Premier League & Championship, Scottish Premiership, Italian Serie A, Dutch Eredivisie, Spanish Primera División and French Ligue 1.
Opening balance: £10.00
Bets: 4 * £1 singles
Remaining balance: £6.00
Predicted with some ugly Python code.
I've posted articles explaining how it was done - Part1, Part2, Part3, Part4.
Code available here.
i hope you are right !
Yeah, me too. If my win rate stays around 70% and I don't bet at odds below 1.50 then it's all good. :-D
Hmmm, only 2 wins out of 4. Hull & Middlesbrough both let me down.
Winnings: £3.65
Closing Balance: £9.65