Georgia travels to South Bend to take on the #24 ranked FIghting Irish of Notre Dame tonight. Georgia lost their starting QB last week, and will be bringing in Freshman Jake Fromm to handle the offense. Jake came in last week against Appalachian State and was a respectable 10/15 for 143 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INT.
The line has been fluent all week going from Notre Dame -6 to -4 to -6 to -4 at 5 Dimes Sportsbook as seen in the table below.
| TIME | UGA | ND |
|---|---|---|
| 09/09 12:39 PM | +4 -105 | -4 -105 |
| 09/09 11:57 AM | +4½ -108 | -4½ -102 |
| 09/09 11:30 AM | +4½ -105 | -4½ -105 |
| 09/09 10:07 AM | +5 -108 | -5 -102 |
| 09/09 08:59 AM | +5 -105 | -5 -105 |
| 09/09 07:41 AM | +5 -109 | -5 -101 |
| 09/09 06:27 AM | +5 -107 | -5 -103 |
| 09/08 10:45 PM | +5½ -107 | -5½ -103 |
| 09/08 10:24 PM | +5½ -105 | -5½ -105 |
| 09/08 08:54 PM | +5½ -110 | -5½ -110 |
| 09/08 05:32 PM | +6 -110 | -6 -110 |
| 09/08 02:57 PM | +7 -135 | -7 +115 |
| 09/08 02:52 PM | +5½ -110 | -5½ -110 |
| 09/08 08:36 AM | +5 -110 | -5 -110 |
| 09/07 09:33 PM | +5½ -110 | -5½ -110 |
| 09/07 09:02 PM | +4 -110 | -4 -110 |
| 09/07 11:56 AM | +4½ -110 | -4½ -110 |
| 09/06 08:21 AM | +4 -110 | -4 -110 |
| 09/05 06:20 PM | +4½ -110 | -4½ -110 |
| 09/05 04:10 PM | +4 -110 | -4 -110 |
| 09/05 08:37 AM | +4½ -110 | -4½ -110 |
| 09/05 08:18 AM | +5 -110 | -5 -110 |
| 09/05 07:49 AM | +5½ -110 | -5½ -110 |
| 09/04 08:30 PM | +6 -110 | -6 -110 |
| 09/04 12:13 PM | +6½ -110 | -6½ -110 |
The total has also steadily climbed.
| TIME | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|
| 09/09 11:36 AM | 58 -102 | 58 -108 |
| 09/09 08:40 AM | 58 -105 | 58 -105 |
| 09/09 06:26 AM | 58½ -105 | 58½ -105 |
| 09/08 10:45 PM | 58½ -103 | 58½ -107 |
| 09/08 10:35 PM | 58½ -104 | 58½ -106 |
| 09/08 10:24 PM | 58½ -107 | 58½ -103 |
| 09/08 10:12 PM | 58½ -110 | 58½ -110 |
| 09/08 12:01 PM | 57 -110 | 57 -110 |
| 09/07 06:43 PM | 56½ -110 | 56½ -110 |
| 09/07 06:34 PM | 57 -110 | 57 -110 |
| 09/07 11:09 AM | 57½ -110 | 57½ -110 |
| 09/07 09:34 AM | 57 -110 | 57 -110 |
| 09/06 12:35 PM | 57½ -110 | 57½ -110 |
| 09/06 12:34 PM | 58 -110 | 58 -110 |
| 09/06 12:06 PM | 57 -110 | 57 -110 |
| 09/06 08:21 AM | 55½ -110 | 55½ -110 |
| 09/06 12:54 AM | 56 -110 | 56 -110 |
| 09/05 10:40 PM | 55½ -110 | 55½ -110 |
| 09/05 10:16 PM | 54 -110 | 54 -110 |
| 09/05 09:52 PM | 53 -110 | 53 -110 |
| 09/05 10:15 AM | 53½ -110 | 53½ -110 |
| 09/05 10:14 AM | 53 -110 | 53 -110 |
| 09/05 10:14 AM | 52½ -110 | 52½ -110 |
| 09/05 10:13 AM | 53½ -110 | 53½ -110 |
| 09/05 10:09 AM | 53 -110 | 53 -110 |
| 09/05 10:07 AM | 52½ -110 | 52½ -110 |
| 09/05 10:07 AM | 53½ -110 | 53½ -110 |
| 09/05 10:06 AM | 54 -110 | 54 -110 |
| 09/05 01:39 AM | 55 -110 | 55 -110 |
| 09/04 10:58 PM | 54½ -110 | 54½ -110 |
| 09/04 08:28 PM | 55 -110 | 55 -110 |
| 09/04 04:11 PM | 53½ -110 | 53½ -110 |
As mentioned earlier, Georgia lost their QB to injury, here is a recap of all the injuries on both sides:
Georgia
| Date | Pos | Player | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/17 | WR | Riley Ridley | Suspension Served | missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame |
| 09/05/17 | DB | Aaron Davis | Hamstring | injured last game, is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame |
| 09/05/17 | OL | Solomon Kindley | Ankle | is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame |
| 09/04/17 | QB | Jacob Eason | Ankle | out indefinitely |
| 09/04/17 | QB | Jake Fromm | None | expected to start Saturday vs. Notre Dame |
| 09/03/17 | CB | Malkom Parrish | Foot | doubtful Saturday vs. Notre Dame |
Notre Dame
| Date | Pos | Player | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/17 | S | Alohi Gilman | Eligibility | out for season |
| 09/06/17 | TE | Durham Smythe | Concussion | injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Georgia |
| 09/04/17 | DL | Micah Dew-Treadway | Knee | missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Georgia |
| 09/02/17 | DL | Elijah Taylor | Foot | "?" Saturday vs. Georgia |
Analysis:
* 61% of bets coming in are on the under. The total has climbed from 53.5 to 58 over the course of the week.
* 65% of the bets coming in are on Georgia, the line has followed the number of bets coming in and dropped to even things out.
* If you like betting overs, there may be some meat left on the bone as sharp money has driven the total up to 58. Problem is they may have bet the value out of the number.
* Game will ultimately come down to can Georgia's Frosh QB handle the pressure of starting in fabled South Bend, or will he fold like a cheap lawn chair. I lean UGA, but road game against the Irish will not be easy. If you are going to bet, take the points with UGA. See no value in a Notre Dame play.
I am rolling with the over, counting on some value left after sharps moved the number so much earlier in week. Put a small fraction of some bitcoin on it, Nitrogen Sports Betting Slip. Fade or follow, up to you. A good fade is just as valuable as a good follow.
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