Bundesliga sports betting projections (16-18 March)

Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart

My Projected Odds:
Freiburg 2.66
Draw 3.48
VfB Stuttgart 2.97
Freiburg +0.5 1.51
VfB Stuttgart +0.5 1.60

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Freiburg 2.65
Draw 3.05
VfB Stuttgart 2.95
MARGIN: 104.42%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Freiburg -0.02%
Draw -0.61%
VfB Stuttgart -0.03%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 65.76%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 39.08%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 19.07%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 8.62%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz 05

My Projected Odds:
Eintracht Frankfurt 1.75
Draw 4.58
Mainz 05 4.78
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.5 1.26
Mainz 05 +0.5 2.34

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Eintracht Frankfurt 1.62
Draw 3.80
Mainz 05 5.60
MARGIN: 105.90%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Eintracht Frankfurt -1.17%
Draw -0.61%
Mainz 05 0.37%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 80.70%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 58.61%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 36.22%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 22.05%

Augsburg vs Werder Bremen

My Projected Odds:
Augsburg 2.04
Draw 4.07
Werder Bremen 3.78
Augsburg +0.5 1.36
Werder Bremen +0.5 1.96

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Augsburg 2.36
Draw 3.30
Werder Bremen 3.00
MARGIN: 106.01%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Augsburg 1.15%
Draw -0.82%
Werder Bremen -1.03%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 76.27%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 52.19%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 30.00%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 16.53%

Hamburger SV vs Hertha Berlin

My Projected Odds:
Hamburger SV 2.48
Draw 3.71
Hertha Berlin 3.06
Hamburger SV +0.5 1.49
Hertha Berlin +0.5 1.68

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Hamburger SV 2.50
Draw 3.00
Hertha Berlin 3.05
MARGIN: 106.12%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Hamburger SV 0.05%
Draw -0.96%
Hertha Berlin -0.01%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 71.06%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 45.36%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 24.03%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 11.81%

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Hoffenheim

My Projected Odds:
Borussia M.Gladbach 1.96
Draw 4.41
Hoffenheim 3.82
Borussia M.Gladbach +0.5 1.35
Hoffenheim +0.5 2.05

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Borussia M.Gladbach 2.70
Draw 3.50
Hoffenheim 2.50
MARGIN: 105.61%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Borussia M.Gladbach 2.24%
Draw -0.83%
Hoffenheim -2.30%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 81.98%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 60.59%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 38.25%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 22.92%

Wolfsburg vs Schalke 04

My Projected Odds:
Wolfsburg 2.62
Draw 3.90
Schalke 04 2.76
Wolfsburg +0.5 1.57
Schalke 04 +0.5 1.62

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Wolfsburg 3.60
Draw 3.20
Schalke 04 2.13
MARGIN: 105.98%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Wolfsburg 1.44%
Draw -0.82%
Schalke 04 -2.03%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 75.78%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 51.52%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 29.39%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 15.26%

Borussia Dortmund vs Hannover 96

My Projected Odds:
Borussia Dortmund 1.46
Draw 5.26
Hannover 96 8.02
Borussia Dortmund +0.5 1.14
Hannover 96 +0.5 3.18

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
Borussia Dortmund 1.43
Draw 4.80
Hannover 96 6.60
MARGIN: 105.91%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
Borussia Dortmund -0.47%
Draw -0.23%
Hannover 96 -0.32%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 78.73%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 55.68%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 33.30%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 21.69%

FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen

My Projected Odds:
FC Cologne 4.22
Draw 4.16
Bayer Leverkusen 1.91
FC Cologne +0.5 2.10
Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 1.31

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
FC Cologne 4.30
Draw 3.85
Bayer Leverkusen 1.75
MARGIN: 106.37%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
FC Cologne 0.06%
Draw -0.26%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.14%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 76.27%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 52.19%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 30.01%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 15.01%

RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Bayern Munich

My Projected Odds:
RasenBallsport Leipzig 5.41
Draw 4.06
Bayern Munich 1.76
RasenBallsport Leipzig +0.5 2.32
Bayern Munich +0.5 1.23

Sportsbet Bitcoin Bookmaker
RasenBallsport Leipzig 5.20
Draw 4.20
Bayern Munich 1.59
MARGIN: 105.93%

Value Report (10% adjusted Kelly):
RasenBallsport Leipzig -0.09%
Draw 0.11%
Bayern Munich -1.62%

My goals scoring projections:
Probability of 1.5 goals or more 69.91%
Probability of 2.5 goals or more 43.94%
Probability of 3.5 goals or more 22.86%
Probability of 4.5 goals or more 10.19%

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Note also, that this is not betting advice. All information and projections given out are for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always make your own research before you bet. All odds are taken from Sportsbet (aff: https://underdogchance.com/sportsbet)

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👨‍💻My Website: https://underdogchance.com ⚽How I project those Bundesliga odds: https://gum.co/mYgAC

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MB