Pessimistic dies, optimistic lives on.
AI has few hundred years to go before develop Human level intelligence in all cases. AI is already better in some area of knowledge such as number crunching or analytics. It is not still good enough in many complex issues.
A human brain is the most powerful and efficient computing machine on planet earth, probably in the Universe. A human brain performs 10^18 calculations per second (1 exaflop), while the most powerful supercomputer has just broken 10 petaflops. Also, human brain only takes 90 watt, while these super computers take 10s of Megawatts.
The issue is how to use this unused potential computational power of human brains to build the next AI that will solve the complex problems such as poverty or governance.
The universe, in small context, our Milky Way, is full of real estates (habitable planets) and resources. We need next level computational intelligence both biological (humans) or artificial to harvest it. Therefore, there are millions of earth equivalent of resources are in our backdoor that to be harvested.
UBI will help the cause and accelerate the mission. The world is better than ever before, it is the perception (too much news and information overload) that confuse our brain to think that it is getting worse.
Any ground breaking technology such as blockchain, IoT, AI (algorithms) can solve the complex problems of poverty or governance. It is most likely to be happened now than before.
Few suggestion on books: Abundance and Bold by Peter Diamandis
What about governments? How long do you think they would tolerate people who don't pay any taxes, reproduce abundantly and consume resources they want for their typically grandiose and inefficient projects?
They wouldnt.
But one big piece you are overlooking, in 20 years, at most, governments arent going to be needed.
They are nothing but extensions of the banksters who are in the process of being wiped out. 10 years from now, the "elite" will not be so elite.
Super optimistic vs Super pessimistic tells me the answer is somewhere in the middle...
Maybe but when it comes to blockchain, I dont believe there is super pessimism.
There is no way to power the value of decentralization....anything that stands in the way of it will get run over. Blockchain is simply that powerful.
We saw what the Internet did to things that got in its way...and this is much more powerful than what happened 20 years ago.
The DIY era was dead for about 30 years. It is coming back in a huge way. You created an app that required Google and Apple to approve.
On here, you could create whatever you want and put it up. The cool thing is so can 100K other people.
Established power structures, which are centralized, cannot stand up to it. That is why all calls for BTC's demise are pre-mature. It is a blockchain that is too powerful for the bankster to stop.
This part sort of revived my optimism, I agree human level AI is still far away in time.
Also the part about other planets and resources elsewhere sounds good. Let's hope AI takes takes that long and that, by then, resources and government are no longer a problem. regards
Maybe the machines will give us a choice, integrate and live in the cloud or die. But, we have to give something in return, a highly logical mind wouldn't spend computing resources on something worthless like a human brain who only watches porn and Kardashian shows all day in a VR world. We have to provide value to them and it's good we are already thinking about this.