I mean that many votes that in a system with decay would revote are not revoting right now. Like my witness votes are to some extend static because I still think these witnesses do a good job. In a real decay system I would have revoted. So this stat shows change not how it would look with decay. That was what I wanted to say :)
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Ah ok - Yes, I appreciate that.. I did mention in the post that the actual outcome in real life would be somewhere in between my tables and the current tables used in Steem's live data. I have thought about producing a projection of that too - I might do it if I get time soon.