Like I said, I believe this weeks payouts to be an anomaly.
I'm not looking for an argument, but I do have a Six Sigma Master Black Belt and I can tell you that two days (thank you for correcting me) worth of numbers is not a significant enough statistical sample to base anything on.
I'm agreeing with you that the payouts are going to drop, it only remains to be seen by how much.
The X-Factor is always Human Behavior and I can't predict that.