Appreciate your feedback and I think we are of a similar mindset. I like some chaos hedge items to help me sleep well at night but I also know the world has a way of not ending. With that in mind I have to play both sides and not over commit to either. Predicting a crash or war will most certainly be a correct prediction...it's getting the timing right that is the tough part.
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Couldn't agree more! Almost any prediction become easy with an unrestricted timeline, it's getting the event and the timing correct that makes things hard.