The Number 6
What's the big deal about the number 6? Well, that is how many times the LA Dodgers have lost a baseball game since the All Star Break (which by the way was back on July 11, 2017). And they've only lost 4 times so far in the month of August, which is also unique, since most of the month they have been on the road. When I started the experiment, I wanted to see what would happen if you bet every game against one of the best teams, who had already posted an incredible Win/Loss record. While my logic was sound, my experiment with the Dodgers has been a disaster. I would have been much more successful if...
In Hindsight...
The 3 best teams at the break were the Dodgers (61-29), Astros (60-29), and the Nationals (52-36). IF I would have picked either the Astros, or Nationals, this experiment would have looked completely different. The other 2 teams have performed statistically more in line with how baseball teams usually perform -- good teams win about 60% of their games, which is exactly where the Astros and Nationals sit right now in the standings.The Astros: They are still ahead in the standings, but they fell on much harder times since the break. They are only 16-20 in their past 36 games (.444 winning percentage) . Imagine the account with 20 "underdogs" winning!!
The Nationals: They were further behind in the first half, but have done better in their past 35 games. They were 23-12 (.657). Picking this team would have at least given me 12 winning "underdogs", and even this better record is still in line with the expected "good team average".
The Dodgers: Are you kidding me?! This was the worst team to pick. In their past 34 games, they are 28-6 (see above) - (.823). They just can't seem to lose no matter what.
What's Left
Each of these teams has about 38 games left. I'm going to finish out the experiment, but man it has been just been unbelievable - and a little frustrating! I would have never guessed they would be this good/"lucky"... I'm going to need their opponents to really step up their game, if I have any chance of recovering my account. Either that, or I'm going to have to start picking some football to help offset the Dodgers improbable winning percentage. The ugly account stats are below. For the most part, I've been betting 1.25% of my account value on each game the Dodgers play. "C'mon Man!" Can't they just start losing.... please!