Oh, i see i missed your answer my friend. Thanks, that you found the time to answer, even there are 300+ comments on your posts. Awesome!
So 2-4 times, let's see what the future will bring to us. I'm looking for the long-term survival, too. But since I'm a fan of the singularity hypothesis, i think we will see big movements in this year. My bet would be around 85k USD each btc.