Not sure the US military is going on an increasing offensive, see Al Tanf, Deir Ezzor, Aleppo, Raqqa and next Manjib. Those are all total retreats and a kind of epic fail. Iraq moving with Qatar towards Iran and finding no resistance...things are at mix but I don't know that its a one-way direction.
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I hear what you say about the US suffering some setbacks in Syria. However, Rex Tillerson US secretary of State has made it clear that the US is not going to pull out of Syria. It is going to try and use the Kurdish cantons of Rojava to help partition the country. The US has not given up on regime change in Syria. Look at the increase in US troop numbers sent to Afghanistan or the growth in Africacom where the US is building up a large military presence in Africa. The American empire has over 1,000 military bases overseas. It is not going to go down without a fight. That means that it will turn up the heat in conflict zones where its opponents have interests such as Ukraine.
We'll see. I think the US is going to leave syria long before any partition is real. Suffering setbacks is pretty different than full on retreat. The Al Tanf situation was full abandonment of the southern (Jordan fed) effort, Deir Ezzor was a heavy loss, and now a boxed in kurdistan has little hope of survival.
The ukie orcs will likely keep at the donbass, but it won't be with much more than a flippant approval from DC. There will certainly be no ground forces crossing demarkation lines, they can't even field a battalion let alone an actual offensive. Their air force has been finished for years and there are no more old unwanted planes to toss on their scrap heap.
The empire has lost. Now its a face saving retreat followed by an incredible inflationary dollar.