The last weeks have been very moving, since the President (E) proposed the route to follow: cessation of usurpation, transitional government and free elections, a social movement is being generated that demands and pressures for change within Venezuela, adding to that for the first time in twenty years the world does not turn its face to the events of the country, but they are following them step by step, the recognition of a significant number of nations to Guaido and their collaboration to make effective the humanitarian aid requested, show a hopeful outlook.
After February 23, when the usurper, together with the paramilitaries who support them, decided to attack the borders of Brazil and Colombia, as well as maritime access to the country with the sole purpose of prohibiting the entry of humanitarian aid, reaching the point of burning the medicines and food, leaving a balance of fourteen dead, more than two hundred injured, three hundred thousand condemned to death to add to the long list of crimes committed.
That day the world could see clearly the real situation that lives the Venezuelan people, was such an impact that the UN itself was forced to reject the attitude of Nicolas and his band. Because of this the president (e) asked for international support, requesting that all options be kept open and the diplomatic struggle harden, as a result the UN Security Council met on Tuesday, February 26, concluding that the regime Venezuela's usurper is a danger to the region, that measures must be taken to support the Venezuelan people and that Venezuela deserves to be free to resolve its crisis. Outside of Russia's claim that the UN mechanism was not used to deliver humanitarian aid, Nicolas did not receive any other support, the nations asked for free elections taking into account that in the civilized world means: competition in equal conditions, referee impartial, freedom to decide, clear rules, without abuses of force or government in order all a set of principles that in Venezuela so far can not be met and the fifteen participants nine voted in favor of a transitional government a whole defeat.
In view of this international panorama we do not sit down to analyze what options Nicolas has left:
-To officially surrender recognizing the president in charge and request conditions as a belligerent force to participate in a free electoral process, I say that this is an option since it has required Guaido to call an electoral process to be measured, this being an indirect recognition of who runs the executive, although it may be the simplest way out, it is impossible for pride to lead them to accept it.
-Use the complicity of the high military commanders, the SEBIN, GNB, faes and all the repressive apparatus that put an end to the issue ordering the immediate arrest of all the deputies of the national assembly, the official legalization of all opposition parties and the arrest of all its leaders at national, regional and municipal levels, this is a measure of force that Nicolas would take to put an end to this process by imposing itself on the world, consequences could face a massive process of military disobedience or a political defense action that causes its fall as reaction of the opposition to an order of this type, so we know how to make this decision is on the table but there is a fear that it will not be fulfilled.
-Arrest the President (e) as far as we know this order was already given, it remains to be seen if it can be met, to arrest a head of state or better to kidnap a head of state can motorize an international action to save his life, action in which neither Russia nor China could oppose.
- Not to arrest Guaido is to show weakness that the bases of his party, his criminal allies and the military clique that supports him will not forgive him, besides that it shows the nation the lack of power.
-Escaping between roosters and midnight, with uncertain destination to Russia or China, Cuba or any allied nation that wants to receive it with its stolen millions may be an option that increasingly study in Miraflores, the only thing that prevents them is their commitment to Cuban intelligence and the knowledge that any country that receives them is a prison from which they will not be able to leave without running the risk of being arrested.
- Look for the war, this is the option of madness, it is possibly the most viable that gives Nicolas the opportunity to show how his groups are restrained, to show himself as a martyr before the PSUV bases and to seek a negotiated exit as persecuted of the new regime. It can go wrong for you as it can go well. It depends a lot on the sanity of the neighboring nations for that reason the constant attempts to violate Brazilian and Colombian territory.
- Of not being able to apply any they have the option of the terrorism, to use its allied groups, hamas, farc, eln, luminous path, tupac amaru, campora and all those paramilitary groups that have financed throughout latin america to hit terrorist blows and that the nations begin to separate from the conflict, would be evident that any action of this kind that in Latin America and especially in the countries of the Lima group, is directed from Venezuela.
Personally, I do not see any more exits to the process that is getting shorter leading Nicolas every time to have fewer options to consider, it is obvious and hope that repression is one of his most immediate actions, but even the executioner gets tired of cutting heads .
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