http://bitcoinandtheblockchain.blogspot.com.au/2017/08/bitcoin-cash-bch-will-regain-mantle-to.html
AUG
18
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Will Regain The Mantle To Be Bitcoin
Here Is Why
BTC BCH TOT BTC BCH BTC BCH BTC
( Hash Power ) ( Difficulty) ( Block Time ) (mempool)
11 August 6600 338 6938 923 115 10.00 21 55
12 August 6199 416 6615 923 115 10.66 20 15
13 August 6808 440 7248 923 115 9.73 18.46 27
14 August 5951 522 6473 923 115 11.07 15.82 47
15 August 6966 647 7591 923 115 9.47 12.85 53
16 August 5984 484 6468 923 115 11.07 17.14 50
Since 11 August Hash Power on the BCH chain has increased daily.
Hash power on BTC chain on the other hand fluctuates from day to day, by up to 1000 PH and the mempool continues to grow.
The table above are snapshots taken at a point in time each day. Their individual states can be monitored in real time here*. Scroll down to the hash rate. BTC hash rate is down to 4853 PH. This is more than 2000 PH below the table above and the mempool has now exceeded 65MB. I truly believe that the dreaded Chain Death Spiral has set in but is being "managed".
This large fluctuation of BTC hash rate could be the miners preventing difficulty from adjusting downwards, and at the same time growing the mempool. It is also possible that with over 1000 blocks to the next difficulty recalculation, we may not see another difficulty adjustment on BTC anytime soon.
It is uncanny that we see very little discussion and debate at the very top. It is as though the NYA agreement have settled everything. However make no mistake. What seem calm belies what is happening in the background. Like a duck on the water paddling furiously underneath.
Over at r/bitcoin talk seems to center around price and technology. Nothing about any negativity, usability or the growing mempool. Censorship of robust discussions is just downright deceitful. Especially if it is the de facto forum. It must quit being a propaganda organ. There will be consequences.
Undoubtedly the people around Segwit must be frantically on the phone, fax and email arguing and pleading with the miners. They can see the writing on the wall. Only 124 blocks were found in the last 24 hours. Block time have increased to 11 minutes and the mempool is in excess of 70MB. It is "too little too late". For many of the miners "Revenge is a dish best eaten cold".
Here is why Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Is The Real Bitcoin
It is the original bitcoin
It was hijacked from Gavin Andresen very surreptitiously by Adam Back with his Sidechain proposal. It was a "Trojan Horse" and together with the help of Blockstream, Theymos and the Core developers the process was completed. We the original community have finally regained control of the Bitcoin project, except that we have lost control of the name. This position is about to be redressed.
It does not have Segwit.
If you look at a Bitcoin file as AD. A being the address and D being the data, Segwit removes the address portion A, It is reduced to a hash and the original signature is discarded after it is verified. So if your "fingerprint" is the hash of all your signatures, the signatures are discarded after being checked, and only the "fingerprint" is kept. This is in effect what Segwit does.
The signatures are stored on another chain, but not the main chain. Some nodes will keep signatures, some only keep partial records, some will discard them entirely. If you ever need to refer back to the transaction to check on the signatures all you have is the hash. "The fingerprint". Satoshi's original design of bitcoin being an unbroken record of signatures is violated.
It allows for unlimited on-chain scaling.
A clear example of the disastrous effect of limiting the blocksize is the state of BTC now. The mempool is huge and getting bigger, fees are "over the top". Their intention is to push low fee transactions to side chains and the lightning network. These solutions don't exist yet.
The Core developers bought themselves over 2 years delaying and obfuscating on chain scaling, and yet have no working solutions. Meanwhile the user experience gets so bad that many users have sought other alternatives to transact. BCH in the meantime have mined an 8MB block.
It has more client implementations
BCH will have Bitcoin XT, Bitcoin Classic, Bitcoin Unlimited, Bitcoin ABC and more. Each with their own development team but all operating on the same chain. This diversity increases security, innovation and development of the whole ecosystem.
The part played by nChain in this saga should not be discounted. Without a doubt the most interesting improvements in Bitcoin is coming from nChain. Split Keys, Turing completeness are major developments. Whether you believe Craig Wright is Satoshi or not, there is no doubt he is the brightest and most fertile mind in the Bitcoin space, and he does not support Core and Segwit.
BCH survived, and that is all it needed to do
Bitcoin price is at an all time high, but it is not reflective of its' true value. Many people have been duped to sell their BCH without knowing the true state of affairs between BCH and BTC. Newbies entering the ecosystem have no choice but to enter through BTC. The price increase and media hype also drives more people to buy in at any price because of the fear of missing out. Please share this information to give everyone as much true information as they can before they part with their hard earned savings. For those who have missed out on $300 bitcoin, this is a second chance. BCH now has half the transaction volume of BTC but less than one tenth the price. BCH will be worth what BTC is now and more. I do not think the public will turn away from bitcoin if BTC crashes and BCH took over. Bitcoin will change the world and it is here to stay. We are only at 1 million and there is still 6 billion to onboard.
- Unsure of the accuracy of this but can be double checked on Blockchain.info
Interesting perspective. If all those things play out for BCH then I agree it could replace BTC. I still feel BTC will be top dog for the next year or more in any event. An epic battle is at hand!
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First, I have trouble confirming your data on Blockchain info, last I checked, BTC Hashrate was 6930 PH (19 Aug) (https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/hashrate-btc-bch.html#6m), so not anywhere near 4853 PH, BTC Mempool is back to 38 mb (not great, but the alarm bells are not ringing, https://blockchain.info/charts/mempool-size?timespan=30days). In regard to your hashrate takeover argument. At the moment, BTC hashrates don't seem to decrease while BCC hashrates increase, rather both hashrates increase together albeit at different rates? While I do see in the data an increase in BCC hashrate I do not see any decrease of BTC hashrates (https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/hashrate-btc-bch.html#6m), so what's all the fuzz about, aside from the politics of it?