With so many new ICOs and altcoins coming out everyday. I find it hard for coins that do not have a niche to flourish in the long term. Coin niches can be from donations to research of cancer all the way to payment for producing and watching adult content. It creates a talking point that will draw in new investors. To create a coin that will last longer than a year and a half.
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Jep there are so many out there, it is almost impossible to pick the winners. The same happened 3.5 years ago and 95% of the projects started then, are not alive anymore.