Dear Hiveans,
Here is a table with my forecasts of 2021 (written here) and my evaluation of them:
| Forecast | Evaluation |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin will surpass 100‘000 USD before end of 2021. | Unfortunately far off the mark. |
| The S&P500 will end 2021 lower than it is today (3‘756). | also wrong |
| Hive will surpass 1 USD before end of 2021. | Correct, Hive went over 3$ and - after a correction - still is well above 1$. |
| The winner of the 2021 German federal election (Bundestagswahl) and the new Chancellor will be Friedrich Merz. | Wrong, Olaf Scholz is the new Chancellor of Germany 🤡. |
| The dollar (DXY chart) will rise in 2021, from the current 90 to over 100. | also wrong, but the DXY has risen to over 96 |
| A large European bank becomes insolvent and must be bailed out. | wrong |
| A government debt/ currency crisis will arise, either in China or Turkey or Italy or Brazil. | Looking at the Turkish Lira (Lira_chart) I would say rather correct |
So, 2 correct and 5 wrong - not that good, unfortunately 😕. I hope I'll do better next year.
Forecasts for 2022:
- Bitcoin will surpass 100'000 USD before end of 2022.
- Hive will surpass 10 USD before end of 2022.
- There will be a full boycott of 2022 Winter Olympics in China (Olympics_2022_wiki). This is more of a hope than a forecast (pressure on China is necessary to end China's genocide).
- Macron will be reelected President of France.
- US Democrats will lose at the midterm elections in November.
- Belgium will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup.
- We'll see a lot of volatility, and the S&P500 (currently at 4'777) will go down - at least temporarily - below 3'000.
source I hope this meme will prove wrong but who knows
My development on Hive in 2021 went way beyond my expectations:
- increased my stake from 150‘000 to over 200‘000 😀
- wrote 65 posts (compared to 56 posts in 2020).
- got from 777 to now 1340 followers (thanks to my followers 🙏) 😊
- Overall I have distributed 75'000 upvotes (link) up to now.
Goals for 2022:
- 300‘000 Hive Power
- at least 52 posts
- 2‘000 followers
- distributing 25'000 upvotes
I wish you a great new year, with good health and great success.
Hive on,
zuerich
Liebe Hiver,
hier ist eine Tabelle mit meinen Prognosen für 2021 (hier geschrieben) und meiner Beurteilung dazu:
| Prognose | Beurteilung |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin wird vor Ende 2021 100'000 USD überschreiten. | Leider weit daneben. |
| Der S&P500 wird Ende 2021 tiefer stehen als heute (3'756). | ebenfalls falsch |
| Hive wird vor Ende 2021 die Marke von 1 USD überschreiten. | Richtig, Hive stieg über 3$ und liegt - nach einer Korrektur - immer noch deutlich über 1$. |
| Der Sieger der Bundestagswahl 2021 und der neue Bundeskanzler wird Friedrich Merz sein. | Falsch, Olaf Scholz ist der neue Bundeskanzler 🤡. |
| Der Dollar (DXY Chart) wird im Jahr 2021 steigen, von derzeit 90 auf über 100. | auch falsch, aber der DXY ist auf über 96 angestiegen |
| Eine große europäische Bank wird zahlungsunfähig und muss gerettet werden. | falsch |
| Eine Staatsschulden-/Währungskrise wird entstehen, entweder in China oder der Türkei oder Italien oder Brasilien. | Mit Blick auf die türkische Lira (Lira_chart) würde ich sagen: eher richtig |
Also, 2 richtig und 5 falsch - nicht so gut, leider 😕. Ich hoffe, dass ich es nächstes Jahr besser machen werde.
Prognosen für 2022:
- Bitcoin wird vor Ende 2022 100'000 USD überschreiten.
- Hive wird vor Ende 2022 die Marke von 10 USD überschreiten.
- Es wird einen vollständigen Boykott durch die westlichen Staaten bei den Olympischen Winterspielen 2022 in China geben (Olympics_2022_wiki). Dies ist mehr Hoffnung als eine Vorhersage (Druck auf China ist notwendig, um Chinas Völkermord zu beenden).
- Macron wird als Präsident von Frankreich wiedergewählt.
- Die US-Demokraten werden bei den Zwischenwahlen im November verlieren.
- Belgien wird die Fußballweltmeisterschaft 2022 gewinnen.
- Wir werden Phasen sehr hoher Volatilität erleben, und der S&P500 (derzeit bei 4'777) wird - zumindest vorübergehend - unter 3'000 fallen.
Quelle
Ich hoffe, dass sich dieses Meme als falsch erweisen wird, aber wer weiß
Meine Hive-Jahr 2021 hat meine Erwartungen weit übertroffen:
- habe meinen Stake von 150'000 auf über 200'000 erhöht 😀.
- 65 Beiträge geschrieben (im Vergleich zu 56 Beiträgen im Jahr 2020).
- habe viele Follower gewonnen (danke dafür 🙏), von 777 auf jetzt 1340 Follower 😊
- Insgesamt habe ich bis jetzt 75'000 Upvotes (link) verteilt.
Ziele für 2022:
- 300'000 Hive Power
- Mindestens 52 Beiträge
- 2'000 Follower
- 25'000 Upvotes verteilen
Ich wünsche Euch ein tolles neues Jahr, mit guter Gesundheit und viel Erfolg.
Hive on,
zuerich
Queridos Hiveanos,
Aquí hay una tabla con mis previsiones de 2021 (escrito aquí) y mi evaluación de las mismas:
| Pronóstico | Evaluación |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin superará los 100'000 USD antes de finales de 2021. | Desgraciadamente muy lejos de la realidad. |
| El S&P500 terminará 2021 por debajo de lo que es hoy (3'756). | también equivocado |
| Hive superará 1 USD antes de finales de 2021. | Correcto, Hive superó los 3$ y -tras una corrección- sigue estando muy por encima de 1$. |
| El ganador de las elecciones federales alemanas de 2021 (Bundestagswahl) y el nuevo canciller será Friedrich Merz. | Equivocado, Olaf Scholz es el nuevo Canciller de Alemania 🤡. |
| El dólar (DXY chart) subirá en 2021, de los 90 actuales a más de 100. | también se equivoca, pero el DXY ha subido a más de 96 |
| Un gran banco europeo se declara insolvente y debe ser rescatado. | incorrecto |
| Surgirá una crisis de deuda gubernamental/moneda, ya sea en China o Turquía o Italia o Brasil. | Mirando la Lira turca (Lira_chart) diría que más bien correcto |
Así que, 2 correctos y 5 erróneos, no es tan bueno, por desgracia 😕. Espero que el año que viene lo haga mejor.
Pronósticos para el año 2022:
- El Bitcoin superará los 100'000 USD antes de finalizar el año 2022.
- Hive superará los 10 USD antes de finales de 2022.
- Habrá un boicot total a los Juegos Olímpicos de Invierno de 2022 en China (Olympics_2022_wiki). Esto es más una esperanza que una previsión (la presión sobre China es necesaria para acabar con el genocidio chino).
- Macron será reelegido presidente de Francia.
- Los demócratas de EEUU perderán en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de noviembre.
- Bélgica ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2022.
- Veremos mucha volatilidad y el S&P500 (actualmente en 4'777) bajará -al menos temporalmente- por debajo de los 3'000.
fuente Espero que este meme resulte erróneo pero quién sabe
Mi desarrollo en Hive en 2021 fue mucho más allá de mis expectativas:
- aumenté mi apuesta de 150'000 a más de 200'000 😀 .
- escribí 65 posts (frente a los 56 de 2020)
- conseguí de 777 a ahora 1340 seguidores 😊
- En total he repartido 75'000 upvotes (link) hasta ahora.
Objetivos para 2022:
- 300'000 Hive Power
- al menos 52 posts
- 2'000 seguidores
- distribuir 25'000 upvotes
Os deseo un gran año nuevo, con buena salud y grandes éxitos.
Hive on,
zuerich
Ich hoffe dass Du mit Prognose Nummer 2 Recht haben wirst und wünsche Dir ebenfalls ein tolles und gesundes neues Jahr welches ganz bestimmt noch ereignisreicher und schöner als das Vergangene sein wird 😉👍
Good afternoon (here) @zuerich. Coming to your account and reading one of your posts, for the first time. While it looks like you were a little off in 2021, we'll see how you do in 2022.
As an American, this one stood out to me:
While there are millions of Americans hoping this is the case, there is a very sobering reality overhanging this and future elections here in our country. Covered in excellent fashion by Mollie Hemingway in Rigged, it is the reality of how corrupted our election process was during the 2020 election. Here is this book's subtitle:
My beloved and I are reading this book right now. Very well documented, it is irrefutable there were serious problems with how this election was conducted. Sadly, executed in such a way that it would be enormously difficult to prove, as was undoubtedly intended ...
So ...
How will the American elections in 2022 turn out? We'll see soon enough ...
Nice to "meet" what appears to be a pretty level-headed European. With more time another day, I hope to learn more about your perspective.
All the best to you and yours for a great start to 2022! 👍🙂
Hello @roleerob,
Thanks for your comment and the book recommendation. As I find this topic very interesting, I'll take a look into it.
As an American, you may be interested in this post of mine.
And thanks for the compliment. I see many simpletons in Europe who cheer each and every political decision that sounds good (Merkel's migration policy, ECB's actions, centrally planned energy policy, ...) without thinking of unintended consequences. Every vote that turns against mainstream expectations (Brexit, Trump 2016) is immediately called populist - without questioning the reasons for these phenomena. So I like very much being a "level-headed European".
Looking forward to reading more of your ideas.
Have a great 2022! 😀
Nice to receive this thoughtful response back from you @zuerich. I have followed the link you have provided and written a more extensive response there to the content of that post.
If you have written an introductory post, I would welcome a link to it and, if provided, will look forward to reading it!
Here (https://peakd.com/introduceyourself/@zuerich/introduce-yourself-zuerich) I wrote something like an introductory post, but with little information.
I am in my late 30s, originally from Germany, living with my wife in Switzerland and working in the insurance industry. Perhaps I'll write more on myself in my next post on Germany, but I prefer to stay pseudonymous/anonymous.
Thank you for this brief response @zuerich. It tells me enough ... 🙂
Very good. We are "kindred spirits" of a sort then, as I have a similar view. The only reason you and I ever "met" was due to my decision in August 2017 to begin investing in this remarkable new asset class. One of my initial investments was into
STEEM. I did not, however, begin to "engage" until May 2018, as I had long held I would never establish an online presence. And ... Aside from this one ... I still never have and unlikely ever will ...Great to see a quote from Thomas Sowell here! One of my youngest sons has read his works extensively and I have always enjoyed those conversations with him. Sowell has a remarkable story to tell and has been blessed with both impressive insight into what drives True economics and a gift of clearly communicating it. 👍
Do you have a Discord account? If so, I would like to send you a friend request. Mine is the same as here - roleerob#3299.
P.S. Your intro's bullet points about the
STEEM/ HIVE "wars" are also very similar to mine ... 😉P.P.S. As a non-native, your English is excellent. Although I studied German (given my heritage) for 3 years, I didn't get very far in being fluent ... 😔
Posted Using LeoFinance Beta
Yes, Thomas Sowell is great. I just read his book "Economic facts and fallacies".
No, I currently don't have a Discord account, but I'll think about it.
Thanks for the compliment. I mostly watch English movies and documentaries to consistently improve my English.
Have a great week!
As I believe our time is the most valuable "commodity" we have, I have come back to this to supply you with a link that provides some initial information, without you needing to get the book. The monthly Imprimis "free speech digest" is one publication which I almost never fail to read. It is that good (from my perspective). We are avid supporters of its free distribution.
In this post, you will read about some European references and I would be interested in your perspective on them, if you deem it worthwhile to comment. Also, here (detailing Mark Zuckerburg's $400M "contribution" to the outcome of our 2020 elections ...) you will read Mollie Hemingway's input on this same issue - the integrity of our election process. It was reading this that led to our ordering of her book "Rigged."
P.S. It would be "dereliction of duty," if I did not also provide this Imprimis link to what they had to say about the subject of your post here, titled - "The January 6 Insurrection Hoax."
Oh, the article on Imprimis is very interesting. I didn't know the voting rules in the US are that loose. But I'll have to read much more on that topic, to form my own opinion.
Hive bei 10 $ wäre super und ist eine der wahrscheinlichsten deiner Tipps. 🤞🏻 Aber auch BTC 100k und die Vola beim SP500 kann ich mir gut vorstellen.
Na schau mer mal.
Guten Rutsch jedenfalls! 🎆
Thomas
Sehr spanned deine Prognosen. und starke Ziele für 2022.
Da wünsche ich viel Erfolg und gute Gesundheit.
Rehived.
Happy New Year! I wish you and your family good health and prosperity. It's great that you are doing analytics and forecasting, it forms the intellectuality of a person. If you have not foreseen something in your forecast, then this is only for the best, which means that next time you will correctly assess the prospect of your attention. In one word, your forecasting experience is strengthened. I always really enjoy reading your publications, they are meaningful and relevant. Once again I want to say thank you very much.
Thanks a lot! May you have a great year!
Thank you very much for your congratulations and attention.
Your prediction for Hive was positive, and even more of it 😊 so that counts as three points hehehe 👌
I wish you a Happy New Year @zuerich and that you can fulfill your goals set for 2022!! 🎶🎶🎶
Thanks a lot! Yes, the Hive prediction is the most important 😃.
Have a great new year, @mipiano!
Thank you, and once again wishing you a lot of success in the new year, in all fields @zuerich
Interesting forcast you have here about 2022
2022 have await us many surprises ahead
HAPPY NEW YEAR 🌷🌹
My greatest incident is not been able to use my account immediately after registration since May.
Looking at your post, the goals and vision that you draft out worth emulating. I pray for grace to be able to reach at least 5% of your current state before the 2022 ends.
Thanks for amazing post.
Thanks for your comment!
I wish you a great new year, and that you'll reach your goals for 2022 😎
Guter Versuch und interessante Prognosen :D
vielleicht wage ich auch einen Versuch..^^
@tipu curate
Upvoted 👌 (Mana: 68/88) Liquid rewards.
Wow! You set high predictions! I love them. I even doubted btc at 60k but now I believe anything.
Hive at $10 will change alot of lives. It a very big prediction!
I think this one is the toughest of them, If Eden hazard, De bruyne and Lukaku will be in form, maybe and only maybe they would stand a chance.
Well, I feel its going to be a great year.
I wish you a happy new year full of happiness and prosperity.
How do make those previsions ?
Happy new year to you 🎉
I am very much interested in investment and politics. So, I'll read a lot on this topics, make my analyses and look for unexpected events (like a severe market correction). But nobody knows the future. So I am curious what 2022 will bring.
Have a great new year! 😀
Wow you had goal and in 2022 you can do it.I am also wishing you successful new year.
Frohes neues Jahr!
$10 für Hive. Bin gerne dabei. Die Plattform hat es verdient.
Bin gespannt was da noch alles kommt.
I agree with most of your predictions like in BTC and Hive growth
You gave me some ideas for possible content. Love your fearless forecast.
Dear @zuerich , Nice meet to you! Your prediction is interesting! Are you swiss?
Nice to meet you, too.
I am Switzerland-based, but originally from Germany.